UCLA vs. Kansas State - 12/26/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kansas State Wildcats (7-5) at UCLA Bruins (6-6)
College Football: Tuesday, December 26, 2017 at 9:00 pm (Chase Field)
The Line: UCLA Bruins +2.5 -- Over/Under: 63.5 See the Latest Odds
The Kansas State Wildcats and UCLA Bruins will square off in the Cactus Bowl at Chase Field on December 26th in College Football action.
The Kansas State Wildcats finished their 2017 regular season with an overall record of 7-5 while finished Big-12 conference play with a 5-4 record. Kansas State finished the season strong, winning 4 of their last 5 games to reach their 8th consecutive bowl game. On the season, Kansas State is averaging 32.1 ppg on 368.3 total yards per game (181.7 passing yds/g; 186.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Kansas State suffered a big blow after losing Jesse Ertz (55.5 comp %, 7 TD, 3 INT, 186.0 passing yds/g; 67.2 rushing yds/g) due to injury and have to utilize both Alex Delton (56.0 comp %, 2 TD, 2 INT, 97.5 passing yds/g; 57.0 rushing yds/g) and Skylar Thompson (63.2 comp %, 5 TD, 2 INT, 94.6 passing yds/g; 37.6 rushing yds/g). Alex Delton initially took over for Ertz, however, missed the last three games of the season due to an injury and is currently questionable due to a head injury. The leading receivers for the Wildcats have been Bryon Pringle (2.5 rec/g, 64.1 yds/g, 6 TD), Isaiah Zuber (4.3 rec/g, 42.5 yds/g, 4 TD), and Dalton Schoen (2.3 rec/g, 47.0 yds/g, 3 TD). The Kansas State backfield has been led by Alex Barnes who had 6 TD’s on the season while averaging 58.5 rushing yds/g on 11.2 att/g. Defensively, Kansas State is allowing their opponents to average 25.8 ppg on 432.0 total yards per game (310.3 passing yds/g, 121.8 rushing yds/g). The Wildcats forced 22 turnovers on the season and finished with an overall turnover margin of +10.
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The UCLA Bruins had an up and down season, however, was able to reach a bowl game after their 30-27 victory over the California Golden Bears in the last week of the season gave the Bruins a 6-6 (4-5 Pac-12) record. UCLA decided to part ways with head coach Jim Mora after their loss to USC however, have already made a big splash with the hire of Chip Kelly. On the season, UCLA is averaging 33.8 ppg on 465.7 total yards per game (345.3 passing yds/g; 120.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, UCLA has been led by QB Josh Rosen who has completed 62.5% of his passes for 26 TD and 10 INT while averaging 337.9 passing yds/g. The leading receivers for Rosen and the Bruins have been WR Jordan Lasley (7.6 rec/g, 142.0 yds/g, 8 TD), WR Darren Andrews (6.7 rec/g, 85.9 yds/g, 10 TD), TE Caleb Wilson (7.6 rec/g, 98.0 yds/g, TD), and WR Theo Howard (4.0 rec/g, 39.6 yds/g, 3 TD). The UCLA backfield has been led by Bolu Olorunfunmi (9.6 att/g, 49.3 rushing yds/g, 5 TD) and Soso Jamabo (9.8 att/g, 49.7 yds/g, 6 TD). Defensively, UCLA is allowing their opponents to average 36.8 ppg on 488.8 total yards per game (206.1 passing yds/g; 282.7 rushing yds/g). The Bruins defense was only able to generate 12 turnovers on the season and finished the year with an overall turnover margin of -9.
The Wildcats are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss however, are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. The Bruins are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Kansas State has been hit with a few key injuries this season, however, the Wildcats offense continued to find success no matter who they had behind center as Kansas State does a great job at running the football and controlling the clock. UCLA has the best quarterback in College Football in Josh Rosen who had put up some incredible numbers this season, however, the Bruins can become one-dimensional at times on the offensive end and need to put up a ton of points as their defense hasn’t had any luck stopping opponents this season. I’m excited to watch Josh Rosen play his last college football game, however, as the Kansas State defense should be able to game plan for the Bruins passing attack, along with the fact they should have no problem sustaining long, time consuming drives on the offensive end, I’m taking Kansas State to cover this small spread.