Purdue vs. Arizona - 12/27/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona Wildcats (7-5) at Purdue Boilermakers (6-6)
College Football: Wednesday, December 27, 2017 at 8:30 pm (Levi's Stadium)
The Line: Purdue Boilermakers +4.5 -- Over/Under: 63 See the Latest Odds
The Arizona Wildcats and Purdue Boilermakers will square off in the Foster Farms Bowl as Levi’s Stadium on December 27th in College Football action.
The Arizona Wildcats finished the regular season with an overall 7-5 record while finishing conference play with a 5-4 record. Arizona might have lost 3 of their last 4 games of the regular season, however, the Wildcats still have an excellent season as Arizona was not projected to make a bowl game this season. On the season, Arizona is averaging 41.8 ppg on 494.5 total yards per game (170.1 passing yds/g; 324.4 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arizona was led by QB Khalil Tate, who exploded on the College Football scene after taking over the starting duties from Brandon Dawkins. Tate finished the regular season completing 61.4% of his passes for 9 TD and 8 INT while averaging 128.9 passing yds/g and did most his damage on the ground after rushing for 12 TD’s while averaging 135.3 rushing yds/g. Also in the Arizona backfield has been J.J. Taylor (11.3 att/g, 69.0 yds/g, 5 TD), Nick Wilson (12.0 att/g, 58.5 yds/g, 6 TD), and Zach Green (5.42 att/g, 25.8 yds/g, 11 TD). The leading receivers for the Arizona has been WR Shun Brown (3.3 rec/g, 42.6 yds/g, 5 TD), Tony Ellison (2.8 rec/g, 41.3 yds/g, 3 TD), Tyrell Johnson (1.8 rec/g, 21.8 yds/g), and TE Bryce Wolma 2.3 rec/g, 20.1 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, Arizona is allowing their opponents to average 34.1 ppg on 464.2 total yards per game (276.9 passing yds/g; 187.3 rushing yds/g). The Arizona defense forced 24 turnovers on the season and had an overall turnover margin of +4.
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The Purdue Boilermakers finished the regular season with an overall record of 6-6 while finishing Big-10 play with a 4-5 conference record. Purdue struggled a bit mid-way through the season, however, picked up wins against Iowa and Indiana over the final two weeks of the season to secure their first bowl game since the 2012 season. On the season, Purdue is averaging 24.2 ppg on 390.4 total yards per game (239.5 passing yds/g; 150.9 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Purdue has been led by QB Elijah Sindelar who has completed 55.8% of his passes for 14 TD and 6 INT while averaging 154.8 passing yds/g. The top receivers for Sindelar and the Boilermakers has been WR Anthony Mahoungou (2.8 rec/g, 47.5 yds/g, 6 TD), WR Jackson Anthrop (3.7 rec/g, 32.6 yds/g, 5 TD), TE Brycen Hopkins (2.1 rec/g, 29.5 yds/g, 3 TD), and TE Cole Herdman (1.7 rec/g, 28.7 yds/g, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Boilermakers backfield has been Tario Fuller (14.3 att/g, 87.0 yds/g, 2 TD), Makell Jones (10.2 att/g, 53.3 yds/g, TD), and D.J. Knox (6.6 att/g, 38.3 yds/g, TD). Defensively, Purdue is holding their opponents to an average of 19.3 ppg on 370.9 total yards per game (237.6 passing yds/g; 133.3 rushing yds/g). The defense has been led by LB Markus Bailey who was 2nd on the team with 78 tackles while also picking up 7.0 sacks. Purdue’s defense forced 19 turnovers on the season and finished the regular season with an overall turnover margin of +3.
The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss however, are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games. The Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. Pac-12 opponents.
Arizona has been exciting team to watch this season as their rushing attack, which finished 3rd in the country, has been at times, unstoppable. Purdue has been led by their defense that ranks 17th in scoring defense and was strong against the rush, ranking 30th in rushing defense. Arizona’s Khalil Tate has been outstanding to watch with his ability to break off a huge play on any snap, however, Purdue’s strength is on the defensive end and with 3 weeks to prepare for the Wildcats rushing attack, I have confidence that the Boilermakers will be able to limit the damage Arizona will do on the ground. Purdue’s offense can struggle at time, however, as I think it will have some success against Arizona’s 110th ranked scoring defense, I’m taking Purdue to at worse cover with the points.