Texas vs. Missouri - 12/27/17 Texas Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas Longhorns (6-6) at Missouri Tigers (7-5)
College Football: Wednesday, December 27, 2017 at 9:00 pm (NRG Stadium)
The Line: Missouri Tigers -2.5 -- Over/Under: 60.5 See the Latest Odds
The Texas Longhorns and Missouri Tigers meet Wednesday in the college football Texas Bowl at NRG Stadium.
The Texas Longhorns look for their first winning season since 2013 and their first bowl victory since 2012. The Texas Longhorns have split their last six bowl appearances overall. Sam Ehlinger is completing 56.5 percent of his passes for 1,803 yards, 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Ehlinger and Shane Buechele have combined for 16 touchdown passes and 11 interceptions this season. Collin Johnson and Lil'Jordan Humphrey have combined for 1,156 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Reggie Hemphill-Mapps has 36 receptions. The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 141.8 yards per contest, and Ehlinger leads the way with 364 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 21.7 points and 363.6 yards per game. Malik Jefferson leads the Texas Longhorns with 110 tackles, Breckyn Hager has four sacks and DeShon Elliott has six interceptions.
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The Missouri Tigers head into this game on a six-game winning streak and look for at least eight wins for the ninth time in the last 12 seasons. The Missouri Tigers have won each of their last three bowl appearances. Drew Lock is completing 58.2 percent of his passes for 3,695 yards, 43 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Lock has at least three touchdown passes in each of his last eight games. J'Mon Moore and Emanuel Hall have combined for 1,834 receiving yards and 18 touchdowns while Johnathon Johnson has 38 receptions. The Missouri Tigers ground game is averaging 199.5 yards per contest, and Ish Witter leads the way with 992 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Missouri is allowing 31.8 points and 425.3 yards per game. Cale Garrett leads the Missouri Tigers with 92 tackles, Terry Beckner, Jr. has seven sacks and Anthony Sherrils has two interceptions.
The Longhorns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. SEC, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Tigers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in December, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 non-conference games and the under is 40-17 in Longhorns last 57 games overall.
If Lock can have success throwing the football like he has the last couple of months, it's going to be a long day for the Texas Longhorns, as there's not enough offensive firepower for Texas to keep up. However, Texas is the more physical team and will have its chances to bully the smaller Missouri Tigers in the trenches. This is also kind of a must-win for Texas if it hopes to be viewed as a program on the rise and getting out of this funk. You can't have another losing season. There's also the Tom Herman factor and the idea he wins outright and covers a ton of games when he's considered the underdog. We also can't ignore this game is in Texas, so expect to see a ton of orange in the crowd. I'll take the couple of points here.