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Navy vs. Virginia - 12/28/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Virginia Cavaliers (6-6) at Navy Midshipmen (6-6)

College Football: Thursday, December 28, 2017 at 1:30 pm (Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Navy Midshipmen 0 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

College football action features the Navy Midshipmen taking the field with the Virginia Cavaliers in the Military Bowl.

The Virginia Cavaliers stumbled to the end of the regular season with losses in five of six where there were some issues on both sides of the football. Virginia had tremendous problems finding the end zone on a consistent basis the team averaged 23.8 points on 356.2 yards with the #42 passing attack producing 257.3 yards. The Cavaliers allowed a respectable 26.7 points on 358.7 yards but the run ‘D’ gave up 179.1 yards to rank #81.

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Navy vs. Virginia - 12/28/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

Cavs quarterback Kurt Benkert completed 59.6% of his 473 passes for 3,062 yards for 25 touchdowns and just eight interceptions. The pass heavy UVA attack had plenty of options with Olamide Zacchaeus catching 80 throws for 833 yards while Andre Levrone (31-662) and Doni Dowling (48-632) gave the offense some explosiveness through the air. Jordan Ellis was Virginia’s workhorse on the ground with 799 yards on 204 carries but just for a 3.9 yard average.

The Navy Midshipmen are not the team we have come to know over the past several years with losses in six of seven to end the year including a one point defeat to Army which was painful beyond words. Navy did run the ball well which is no surprise with the #3 ground game averaging 343 yards which led the way to almost 29 points. The Midshipmen allowed nearly 28 points on 386.6 yards with both the run and passing ‘D’ being in the middle of the rankings.

Middies quarterback Zach Abey completed just 31-71 (43.7%) for 805 yards with seven touchdowns and seven interceptions with Tyler Carmona and Malcolm Perry combining for 27 receptions for 684 yards and six TD’s. Abey paced the Navy ground game with 1,325 yards on 280 carries but averaged just 4.7 yards while Perry gave the team explosiveness with 1,068 yards on 122 touches and an outstanding 8.8 yards. Chris High and Anthony Gargiulo combined 903 yards on 196 totes as the rushing game produced but also seemed to be quiet at times. 

Under is 4-0-1 in Virginia last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game and over is 4-0 in Virginia last 4 neutral site games and over is 4-0 in Virginia last 4 Bowl games. Navy are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games and Navy are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Bowl games and Navy are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. 

Neither team has done one thing over the last month of the regular season but Navy’s ground game versus the Virginia run defense seems like a favorable matchup for the Middies…

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