TCU vs. Stanford - 12/28/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

TCU vs. Stanford - 12/28/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Stanford Cardinal (9-4) at TCU Horned Frogs (10-3)

College Football: Thursday, December 28, 2017 at 9:00 pm (Alamodome)

The Line: TCU Horned Frogs -2.5 -- Over/Under: 49 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Stanford Cardinal and TCU Horned Frogs meet Thursday in the college football San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl at the Alamodome. 

The Stanford Cardinal have a shot to win double-digit games for the seventh time in the last eight seasons. The Stanford Cardinal are 4-2 in bowl appearances under head coach David Shaw. K.J. Costello is completing 59.2 percent of his passes for 1,361 yards, 11 touchdowns and two interceptions. Costello has seven touchdown passes and one interception in his last three games. JJ Arcega-Whiteside and Trenton Irwin have combined for 1,164 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Kaden Smith has 23 receptions. The Stanford Cardinal ground game is averaging 205.8 yards per contest, and Bryce Love leads the way with 1,973 yards and 17 touchdowns. Defensively, Stanford is allowing 21.5 points and 398.8 yards per game. Harrison Phillips leads the Stanford Cardinal with 99 tackles, Bobby Okereke has four sacks and Justin Reid has five interceptions. 

The TCU Horned Frogs have a chance to win at least 11 games for the 12th time in school history. The TCU Horned Frogs have won eight of their last 11 bowl appearances overall. Kenny Hill is completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 2,838 yards, 21 touchdowns and six interceptions. Hill has two or more touchdown passes in three of his last six games. John Diarse and Jalen Reagor have combined for 950 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Desmond White has 38 receptions. The TCU Horned Frogs ground game is averaging 176.2 yards per contest, and Darius Anderson leads the way with 768 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, TCU is allowing 17.6 points and 328.5 yards per game. Travin Howard leads the TCU Horned Frogs with 98 tackles, Mat Boesen has 11.5 sacks and Nick Orr has two interceptions. 

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The Cardinal are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 bowl games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in December. The Horned Frogs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. The under is 16-5 in Horned Frogs last 21 games overall and the under is 7-2 in Cardinal last 9 games overall.

The only reason I can see TCU being the favorite here is because the game is in San Antonio, so there should be a lot of purple in the stands. That's it. As for the Staford Cardinal, Bryce Love has a few weeks to rest that banged up ankle, so he should be as healthy as we've seen him in quite some time, which is scary. Costello is also showing signs into coming into his own, and David Shaw is one of those coaches you don't want to give extra time to prepare. Kenny Hill has not been the difference maker we thought he would be this season, and TCU is a Big 12 team that doesn't see these type of physical teams often. The Hored Frogs deal with speed and spread in that offensive conference. Stanford is an old school squad that's going to line up and win in the trenches. With time to rest up and get healthy, Stanford should be able to bully TCU into the ground. I just don't see ths being a good matchup for the Horned Frogs.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Stanford Cardinal +2.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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