Kentucky vs. Northwestern - Music City Bowl - 12/29/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kentucky Wildcats (7-5) at Northwestern Wildcats (9-3)
College Football: Friday, December 29, 2017 at 4:30 pm (Nissan Stadium)
The Line: Northwestern Wildcats -6.5 -- Over/Under: 51 See the Latest Odds
Down at Nissan Stadium on Friday afternoon, the Music City Bowl will kick off with college football action between the Kentucky Wildcats and the Northwestern Wildcats.
Kentucky enters this game at 7-5 overall on the season. The Wildcats started out pretty well, winning five of their first six games (with a one-point loss to Florida mixed in there). Kentucky went just 2-4 down the stretch, however, in the face of tougher competition.
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Stephen Johnson leads the way in passing for Kentucky, and he’s got 2048 yards with 10 TDs and four picks. Benny Snell is the top Wildcats rusher on 1318 yards and 18 TDs, and Garrett Johnson is tops in receiving with 500 yards and two TDs.
As for Northwestern, they’re entering play here with a 9-3 record. The Wildcats stumbled a bit out of the gate, dropping three of their first five games. Northwestern finished the season on a tear, bagging seven straight wins (with three overtime affairs mixed in there).
Clayton Thorson is the leading Wildcats passer on 2809 yards, 15 TDs and 12 INTs, and Justin Jackson heads up the rusher on 1154 yards and nine TDs. Bennett Skowronek tops out the Wildcats receivers on 519 yards and five scores.
The Wildcats are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games on grass and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five bowl games. Kentucky is also 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games in December and 1-7 ATS in the last eight games overall.
Meanwhile, Northwestern is 7-0 ATS in the last seven games following a straight-up win and 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win. The Wildcats are also 4-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 16-5 ATS in the last 21 games overall.
Kentucky registered just 30 points in their last two games—13 versus Georgia and 17 versus Louisville—while allowing 86 points in that pair on the other side. As for Northwestern, they had some close calls during that win streak but finished strong by outscoring their opponents 81-7 over the last two games. The line is a little thicker than I’d like to see here, but I’m still going to stick with Northwestern.