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Miami-FL vs. Wisconsin - 12/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Wisconsin Badgers (12-1) at Miami-FL Hurricanes (10-2)

College Football: Saturday, December 30, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)

The Line: Miami-FL Hurricanes +6.5 -- Over/Under: 45 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Wisconsin Badgers and Miami Hurricanes meet Saturday in the college football Capital One Orange Bowl at Hard Rock Stadium.

The Wisconsin Badgers have a chance to win 13 games for the first time in school history. The Wisconsin Badgers have won each of their last three bowl appearances. Alex Hornibrook is completing 61.6 percent of his passes for 2,386 yards, 21 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Hornibrook has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last eight games. Troy Fumagalli and Quintez Cephus have combined for 1,017 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while A.J. Taylor has 23 receptions. The Wisconsin Badgers ground game is averaging 229.1 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 1,847 yards and 13 touchdowns. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing 13.2 points and 253.2 yards per game. Ryan Connelly leads the Wisconsin Badgers with 80 tackles, Garret Dooley has 7.5 sacks and Joe Ferguson has four interceptions. 

Miami-FL vs. Wisconsin - 12/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Hurricanes hope to snap a string of back-to-back losses and win 11 games for the first time since 2003. The Miami Hurricanes have lost six of their last seven bowl appearances. Malik Rosier is completing 54.8 percent of his passes for 2,917 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Rosier has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last seven games. Braxton Berrios and Christopher Herndon IV have combined for 1,111 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while Ahmmon Richards has 24 receptions. The Miami Hurricanes ground game is averaging 159.6 yards per contest, and Travis Homer leads the way with 902 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 19.9 points and 359.8 yards per game. Jaquan Johnson leads the Miami Hurricanes with 85 tackles, Trent Harris has 8.5 sacks and Michael Jackson has four interceptions.

The Badgers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on grass and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The under is 16-5 in Hurricanes last 21 games overall and the under is 7-3 in Badgers last 10 non-conference games.

Many are off the Miami Hurricanes bandwagon after back-to-back losses and injuries to a lot of their key players. But we're still getting free points with the Canes at home, which holds some value. We've seen how Miami plays at home in big games and the players feed off that energy. As for the Wisconsin Badgers, we've been backing them all season long, and they do a great job of finding ways to win even if it isn't pretty. But we saw Wisconsin struggle with the speed of Ohio State, and one thing about Miami any season, there's a lot of speed on both sides of the ball. I also have questions about how effective Hornibrook will be against this aggressive Hurricanes defense, as he's not an accurate passer and doesn't handle pressure well. This is closer to a toss-up game in my eyes, but the fact we're getting nearly a free touchdown with Miami in a true home game, I can't pass it up. 

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