UCF vs. Auburn - 1/1/18 Peach Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UCF Knights (12-0) at Auburn Tigers (10-3)
College Football: Monday, January 1, 2018 at 12:30 pm (Mercedes-Benz Stadium)
The Line: Auburn Tigers -10 -- Over/Under: 67.5 See the Latest Odds
The UCF Knights and Auburn Tigers meet Monday in the college football Peach Bowl at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
The UCF Knights look for their first undefeated season in school history and first bowl victory since 2013. The UCF Knights are 3-5 all-time in bowl appearances. McKenzie Milton is completing 69.2 percent of his passes for 3,795 yards, 35 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Milton has a combined 13 touchdown passes in his last three games. Tre'Quan Smith and Dredrick Snelson have combined for 1,638 receiving yards and 20 touchdowns while Jordan Akins has 30 receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 201.1 yards per contest, and Adrian Killins, Jr. leads the way with 762 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Central Florida is allowing 25.2 points and 428.6 yards per game. Pat Jasinski leads the UCF Knights with 96 tackles, Shaquem Griffin has 5.5 sacks and Kyle Gibson has four interceptions.
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The Auburn Tigers have a chance to win at least 11 games for the third time in the last eight years. The Auburn Tigers have lost three of their last four bowl appearances. Jarrett Stidham is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 2,827 yards, 17 touchdowns and four interceptions. Stidham has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last 10 games. Ryan Davis and Darius Slayton have combined for 1,342 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Will Hastings has 20 receptions. The Auburn Tigers ground game is averaging 228.1 yards per contest, and Kerryon Johnson leads the way with 1,320 yards and 17 touchdowns. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 17.3 points and 312.3 yards per game. Deshaun Davis leads the Auburn Tigers with 75 tackles, Jeff Holland has nine sacks and Javaris Davis has two interceptions.
The Knights are 1-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. SEC and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. The Tigers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games. The over is 7-3 in Tigers last 10 games overall and the over is 4-0 in Knights last 4 games overall.
The Auburn Tigers made a case for being the best team in the country and could have made the playoffs if it weren't for a late season loss in the SEC title game. Auburn also has an advantage playing in a building it's used to and just played in a few weeks ago. However, the UCF Knights are a really solid football team on both sides, and they're a tight group that wants to finish something special. There's a reason Scott Frost is coaching this game and hasn't left early to get a head start on his Nebraska job. UCF has the speed to counter Auburn and will be highly motivated to prove the little guy can hang with the big boys. I like the value of the points here.