New Mexico State vs. Wyoming - 8/25/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Wyoming Cowboys (0-0) at New Mexico State Aggies (0-0)
College Football: Saturday, August 25, 2018 at 10:00 pm (Aggie Memorial Stadium)
The Line: New Mexico State Aggies +4 -- Over/Under: 46 See the Latest Odds
We kick off the 2018-19 college football season with a matchup between the Wyoming Cowboys and the New Mexico State Aggies duke it out from the Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces.
The Wyoming Cowboys come into the 2018 campaign looking to build on a second consecutive successful season under head coach Craig Bohl, finishing with eight wins for a second straight year, going 8-5 with an invite to the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, a game Wyoming ended up winning by a final score of 37-14 over Western Michigan. The biggest subtraction from last year’s squad is starting QB Josh Allen, who ended up drafted 7th overall by the Buffalo Bills in the 2018 NFL Draft. However one subtraction leaves the door open for two additions in the form of Tyler Vander Waal and Nick Smith, who are both touted to have the tools to surpass anything Allen did for the Cowboys last season. It says a lot that the Cowboys had a top-10 draft, NFL worthy quarterback and still finish with an offense in the bottom-10 in the country. The Cowboys lost 2017’s leading rusher Trey Woods, but brought back their entire receiving corps, including leading receiver Austin Conway who caught a team-leading 61 catches last season. Wyoming also boasts a defense that finished just outside the top-20 in total yardage against, and forced the most turnovers in the country last season with 38 last season. Time will tell if Bohl can lead the Cowboys to the Mountain West title game and help Wyoming go bowling for the third consecutive season for the first time in program history.
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The New Mexico State Aggies will kick off their first season as an independent in 2018, but not before ending their final year in the Sun Belt conference with a bang, as the Aggies finished 7-6, which was good enough for their first bowl bid in 57 years, defeating Utah State with a 26-20 overtime win in the Arizona Bowl. The Aggies lost starting QB Tyler Rogers and starting running back Larry Rose III as seniors last season, while leading receiver Jaleel Scott was a 4th round pick of the Baltimore Ravens in the 2018 NFL draft. Nick Jeanty takes a step from backup QB to the starting pivot role while JUCO transfer Matt Romero adds some depth to the quarterback spot. The problem for New Mexico State on offense is the health of the offensive line that struggled with protecting the passer to begin with. On the defensive side of the ball, the Aggies return their full front four responsible for a heavy pass rush, including Ray Lopez and Cedric Wilcots. The biggest question mark for the Aggies defensively, is while there’s depth, can the Aggies prevent enough big plays to give their relatively inexperienced offense some wiggle room to produce and win football games.
Wyoming is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. New Mexico State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against the Mountain West conference and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on turf while the under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 home games.
The fact that the Aggies have had trouble having enough bodies on the offensive line for spring training games is troubling, especially when you have a quarterback with limited experience going against a defense that was amongst the best in the country last season. Wyoming having not one, but two quarterbacks that are considered an upgrade from your last QB that went 7th overall in the NFL draft says a lot to me, and I’m excited to see what Wyoming puts out this season and I think they start with a bang so I’ll lay the points with Wyoming in this one.