Air Force vs. Stony Brook - 9/1/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Air Force vs. Stony Brook - 9/1/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Stony Brook Seawolves (0-0) at Air Force Falcons (0-0)

College Football: Saturday, September 1, 2018 at 2:00 pm (Falcon Stadium)

The Line: Air Force Falcons -10 -- Over/Under: 59 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Stony Brook Seawolves head west to battle the Air Force Falcons to kick off their 2018 college football season.

The Stony Brook Seawolves outscored opponents 29-21 on the way to a 10-3 record and playoff appearance in 2017. Stony Brook returns quarterback Joe Carbone who was a 56% passer and now needs to find a few options with top receiver Ray Bolden gone and top returning receiver Danavin Washington being a possession type guy.

The Seawolves will lean on Doanald Liotine on the ground who was the second leading runner with 711 yards while Jordan Gowins will get his share of carries. The Seawolves do make a lot of plays behind the line of scrimmage and are stingy overall with opponents managing just over 4 ½ yards per play in 2017.

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The Air Force Falcons were only 5-7 a season ago as the team was outscored 32-31. The Air Force offense begins with quarterback Arion Worthman who struggled to throw and run. The Falcons need a go to guy in the ground game with Tim McVey gone and Malik Miller is the name to keep an eye on.

The run first AFA offense will still throw enough to keep opponents  honest and Ronald Cleveland is the receiver that will get open. The Falcons will get enough push from the offensive line getting enough push to easily crack the 300 yard plateau. Air Force can do everything right offensively but it won’t matter unless the defense shows the ability to control the run.

Stony Brook are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and Stony Brook are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and under is 5-1 in Stony Brook last 6 road games. Air Force are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. 

I look for the Falcons to control the line of scrimmage and move the ball on the ground which adds up to eating the clock and an under…

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Mark’s Pick under 59

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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