Oregon vs. Bowling Green - 9/1/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Bowling Green Falcons (2-10) at Oregon Ducks (7-6)
College Football: Saturday, September 1, 2018 at 8:00 pm (Autzen Stadium)
The Line: Oregon Ducks -28.5 -- Over/Under: 69 See the Latest Odds
TV: Pac-12 Networks
The Bowling Green Falcons will travel to Autzen Stadium to take on the 24th ranked Oregon Ducks this upcoming Saturday in College Football action.
The Bowling Green Falcons took another step back last season as for a team that had a bunch of success with former coach Dino Babers, they’ve struggled over the past two years which included a tough 2-10 (2-6 MAC) season last year. Offensively, Bowling Green struggled with turnovers and finished the season averaging just 25.3 ppg on 386.7 total yards per game (151.7 rushing yds/g; 235.0 passing yds/g). Leading the for the offense this season will be QB Jarret Doege who had a solid Freshman season last year as he completed 63.8% of his passes for 12 TD’s & 3 INT while averaging 197.3 passing yds/ game. Doege will have his top receiver back in Scott Miller (5.3 rec/g; 60.2 yds/g; 4 TD) and will hope for increased production from TE Hunter Folkertsma and WR Janarvis Pough. Bowling Green’s backfield will be led by Andrew Clair who finished last season with 4 TD’s while averaging 65.9 rushing yards per game. Defensively, Bowling Green really had a tough season as the Falcons allowed their opponents to average 38.0 ppg on 506.6 total yards per game (253.3 rushing yds/g; 253.3 passing yds/g). The Falcons will be returning 7 players on the defensive end and will hope that new defensive coordinator, Carl Pelini, can find some answers so that the Bowling Green defense can get some stops.
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The 24th ranked Oregon Ducks come into this season with high hopes as although they finished last season with just a 7-6 (4-5 Pac-12) record and had to deal with some injuries to key personal, the Ducks looked prime for a solid season with an explosive offense and much improved defense. Offensively, Oregon will no longer have the services of Royce Freeman, however, the Ducks will be fine as they will be led by one of the better QB in all of College Football in Justin Herbert. Herbert completed 67.5% of his passes for 15 TD’s & 5 INT while averaging 247.9 passing yds/g. The Ducks need Herbert to stay healthy as they lost 4 of the 5 games he missed due to injury last season. Herbert will have his top receiver back in Dillon Mitchell (3.5 rec/g; 43.1 yds/g; 4 TD) and will hope for solid seasons from WR Johnny Johnson III (1.6 rec/g; 23.0 yds/g; TD), WR Brenden Schooler (1.5 rec/g; 21.1 yds/g; 3 TD) and TE Jacob Breeland (1.5 rec/g; 26.7 yds/g; 5 TD). Defensively, Oregon looked solid last season under defensive coordinator Jim Leavitt as they held their opponents to an average of 29.0 ppg on 369.2 total yards per game (128.5 rushing yds/g; 240.6 passing yds/g). The Ducks defense will be returning 7 starters from last year’s squad and will be led by LB Troy Dye and S Ugochukwu Amadi.
The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games in September. The Ducks are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
Bowling Green is nowhere near the type of team that used to be able to put up huge offensive numbers and unless the Falcons find some answers on the defensive end, it could be another long year for the Falcons. Oregon has the talent and potential to be a very good team this season and will be a contender in a very competitive Pac-12 North that features both Washington and Stanford. Oregon’s Justin Herbert has the potential to be a Heisman Trophy candidate this season and between the fact that I feel that Oregon’s attacking style of defense will give Jarret Doege trouble and that the Ducks offense could easily put up 50+ points in this one, I’m taking Oregon to cover this large spread at home.