Michigan State at Arizona State - 9/8/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Michigan State Spartans (1-0) at Arizona State Sun Devils (1-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 8, 2018 at 10:45 pm (Sun Devil Stadium)
The Line: Arizona State Sun Devils +5 -- Over/Under: 54 See the Latest Odds
The Michigan State Spartans and Arizona State Sun Devils meet Saturday in college football action at the Sun Devil Stadium.
The Michigan State Spartans look for a big road victory in order to start 2-0 for the fourth straight season. The Michigan State Spartans have split their last six road games. Brian Lewerke is completing 69.7 percent of his passes for 287 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Lewerke has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last seven games. Cody White and Felton Davis III have combined for 139 receiving yards and two touchdowns while LJ Scott has three receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 165 yards per contest, and Scott leads the way with 84 yards on 23 carries. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 31 points and 344 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 11 tackles, Kenny Willekes has two sacks and Khari Willis has one interception.
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The Arizona State Sun Devils have a shot at a win over a ranked team to start 2-0 for the fourth time since 2014. The Arizona State Sun Devils have won five of their last six home games. Manny Wilkins is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 237 yards, four touchdowns and zero interceptions. Wilkins has a combined 10 touchdown passes in his last three games. N'Keal Harry and Frank Darby have combined for 163 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Kyle Williams has one reception. The Arizona State Sun Devils ground game is averaging 266 yards per contest, and Eno Benjamin leads the way with 131 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Arizona State is allowing seven points and 220 yards per game. Kobe Williams leads the Arizona State Sun Devils with six tackles, Darius Slade has two sacks and Shannon Forman has one interception.
The Spartans are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Pac-12 and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Sun Devils are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 home games, 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. The over is 6-1 in Sun Devils last 7 games overall and the over is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 games overall.
The Michigan State Spartans didn't impress me much on the defensive end of their opener, which is scary when they have to go on the road and play a team that plays well at night and has explosive playmakers. Arizona State is also one of the best teams in the country at rushing the quarterback, as the Sun Devils had nine sacks last week and have 15 sacks in their last four games. That's the key for me, as Lewerke has struggled big time when pressued and is known to make mistakes when forced to make quick decisions. Wilkins will be able to do damage against this MSU defense. I'm taking the points in a game the home team can win outright.