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Memphis vs. Georgia State - 9/14/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Georgia State Panthers (1-1) at Memphis Tigers (1-1)

College Football: Friday, September 14, 2018 at 7:00 pm (Liberty Bowl)

The Line: Memphis Tigers -23 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Georgia State Panthers and Memphis Tigers meet Thursday in college football action at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium.

The Georgia State Panthers look for a big road victory while winning two of their first three games as an FBS school for the first time in history. The Georgia State Panthers have won five of their last six road games. Dan Ellington is completing 62.5 percent of his passes for 381 yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions. Ellington enters this game with 56 career pass attempts under his belt. Penny Hart and Devin Gentry have combined for 198 receiving yards and one touchdown while Christian Owens has seven receptions. The Georgia State Panthers ground game is averaging 117.5 yards per contest, and Ellington leads the way with 107 yards on 28 carries. Defensively, Georgia State is allowing 30.5 points and 461.5 yards per game. Ed Curney leads the Georgia State Panthers with 18 tackles, Javonte Lain has one sack and Quavian White has one interception. 

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Memphis vs. Georgia State - 9/14/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports

The Memphis Tigers look for a bounce back victory after losing a heartbreaker last week to the Navy Midshipmen, 21-22. The Memphis Tigers have won 10 of their last 13 home games. Brady White is completing 69.8 percent of his passes for 503 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. White has seven touchdown passes in 102 career pass attempts. Damonte Coxie and Patrick Taylor Jr. have combined for 200 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Pop Williams has 10 receptions. The Memphis Tigers ground game is averaging 278.5 yards per contest, and Darrell Henderson leads the way with 288 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Memphis is allowing 18 points and 245 yards per game. Curtis Akins leads the Memphis Tigers with 13 tackles, Jacoby Hill has one sack and T.J. Carter has one interception.

The Panthers are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 road games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The over is 12-5 in Tigers last 17 games overall and the under is 24-8 in Panthers last 32 games overall.

The Memphis Tigers seem to be much improved defensively this season and are a last minute touchdown away from being 2-0 on the season and looking like an AAC contender. The Georgia State Panthers looked awful against NC State last week and haven't shown much life on the defensive side of the ball through two games. There's good reason Memphis is a big favorite at home here. However, Georgia State has been a covering machine on the road the last few years with a 22-9 record in their last 31 games, and they've covered 18 of their last 25 games overall when an underdog of at least 14 points. Those are two trends that are very tough to turn down and sometimes it's best to blindly follow trends that are that strong. Georgia State is a money making machine ATS on the road and when big underdogs. I'll take the points.

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