Nevada vs. Oregon State - 9/15/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oregon State Beavers (1-1) at Nevada Wolf Pack (1-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 15, 2018 at 7:00 pm (Mackay Stadium)
The Line: Nevada Wolf Pack -6.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Oregon State Beavers will travel to Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack this upcoming Saturday night in College Football action.
The Oregon State Beavers improved to 1-1 on the season after defeating the FCS Southern Utah Thunderbirds, 48-25, this past Saturday. Oregon State came out of the gates strong on the offensive end and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 41-7 halftime lead. Oregon State outgained Southern Utah by a 649-488 margin and committed just five penalties in the victory. Leading the way for the Beavers was RB Jermar Jefferson who had 238 rushing yards and 4 TD’s on just 22 carries. Offensively, Oregon State is averaging 39.5 ppg on 520.5 total yards per game (242.5 passing yds/g; 278.0 rushing yds/g) after their first two match-ups against Ohio State and Southern Utah. Offensively, Oregon State has been led by the RB duo of Jermar Jefferson (15.0 att/g; 142.5 yds/g; 4 TD) and Atravis Pierce (11.0 att/g; 129.5 yds/g; 3 TD). QB Conor Blount has completed 65.9% of his passes for 3 TD & 0 INT while averaging 197.5 passing yds/g. The top receivers for the Beavers have been WR Trevon Bradford (4.5 rec/g; 75.5 yds/g; 3 TD), WR Isaiah Hodgins (3.0 rec/g; 49.5 yds/g), and WR Timmy Hernandez (2.0 rec/g; 25.5 yds/g). Defensively, Oregon State is allowing their opponents to average 51.0 ppg on 604.5 total yards per game (343.0 passing yds/g; 261.5 rushing yds/g).
Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports
The Nevada Wolf Pack dropped to 1-1 on the season after falling to the Vanderbilt Commodores, 41-10, this past Saturday. Nevada and their high-scoring offense had no answers for the Commodores defense throughout the game and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 34-10 margin late in the 3rd quarter. Nevada was outgained by Vanderbilt by a 468-250 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 4-2 margin. Leading the way for the Wolf Pack was QB Ty Gangi who completed 22 of 39 passes for 216 yards, TD & 2 INT. Offensively, in their two games agianst FCS Portland State and Vanderbilt, the Wolf Pack are averaging 41.0 ppg on 443.0 total yards per game (318.0 passing yds/g; 125.0 rushing yds/g). Leading the way for the Nevada offense has been QB Ty Gangi who had completed 58.5% of his passes for 4 TD & 3 INT while averaging 279.0 passing yds/g. Gangi’s main targets at the receiver position have been McLane Mannix (5.0 rec/g; 109 yds/g; 3 TD) and WR Kaleb Fossum (6.0 rec/g; 97.5 yds/g). Leading the backfield for the Wolf Pack has been Toa Taua (7.0 att/g; 40.0 yds/g) however, Nevada is clearly a pass first team. Defensively, Nevada is allowing their opponents to average 30.0 ppg on 408.0 total yards per game (255.5 passing yds/g; 152.5 rushing yds/g).
The Beavers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win however, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Wolf Pack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games however, are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
This should be an entertaining game as both teams can put up a ton of points and have played little defense this season when they were up against FBS level teams. Oregon State was impressive on the road at Ohio State on the offensive end and as the Wolf Pack had no answers on the defensive end against Vanderbilt, my initial thoughts are to take Oregon State and the points, however, my stronger play will probably be on the over/under as I just can’t see even with a high total, that these two teams don’t go over it with their run and gun offenses.