Ohio State vs. TCU - 9/15/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
TCU Horned Frogs (2-0) at Ohio State Buckeyes (2-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 15, 2018 at 8:00 pm (AT&T Stadium)
The Line: Ohio State Buckeyes -12.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ABC; ESPN 3
The 4th ranked Ohio State Buckeyes will travel to AT&T Stadium to take on the 15th ranked TCU Horned Frogs this upcoming Saturday night in College Football action.
The 4th ranked Ohio State Buckeyes improved to 2-0 on the season after defeating the Rutgers Scarlet Knights, 52-3, this past Saturday. Ohio State had no trouble finding the scoreboard early in this one and easily cruised to victory after entering halftime with a 35-0 lead. Ohio State outgained Rutgers by a 579-134 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for the Buckeyes was QB Dwayne Haskins who completed 20 of 23 passes for 233 yards and 4 TD’s. Offensively, Ohio State has put up huge numbers in their first two games against Oregon State and Rutgers as they come into this match-up averaging 64.5 ppg on 650.0 total yards per game (350.0 passing yds/g; 300.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Ohio State has been led by QB Dwayne Haskins who has completed 79.2% of his passes for 9 TD & 1 INT while averaging 273.0 passing yds/g. Haskins has done a nice job spreading the ball around as 15 different Buckeyes have at least a reception this season led by WR Terry McLaurin (2.5 rec/g; 86.0 yds/g; 3 TD), WR K.J. Hill (5.5 rec/g; 53.5 yds/g), WR Johnnie Dixon (2.5 rec/g; 49.5 yds/g; 2 TD), and Parris Campbell (4.5 rec/g; 43.0 yds/g; 2 TD). Leading the way for the Ohio State backfield has been the duo of Mike Weber (14.0 att/g; 108.5 yds/g; 3 TD) and J.K. Dobbins (13.5 att/g; 73.5 yds/g; TD). Defensively, Ohio State comes into this game allowing their opponents to average 17.0 ppg on 263.0 total yards per game (130.5 passing yds/g; 132.5 rushing yds/g).
Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports
The 15th TCU Horned Frogs improved to 2-0 on the season after defeating the SMU Mustangs, 42-12, this past Friday night. TCU came out sluggish after a long weather delay as they led by just a 14-12 margin at halftime, however, TCU was dominated on the defensive end in the 2nd half and pulled away after taking a 35-12 lead early in the 4th quarter. TCU outgained SMU by a 393-242 margin however, did lose the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for the Horned Frogs was QB Shawn Robinson who completed 1 of 28 passes for 146 yards, 1 TD, and an INT while also adding 67 rushing yards and a TD on 8 carries. Offensively, after their first two games agianst FCS Southern and SMU, TCU is averaging 48.5 ppg on 446.0 total yards per game (205.0 passing yds/g; 241.0 rushing yds/g). Leading the way for the Horned Frogs has been QB Shane Robinson who has completed 61.5% of his passes for 4 TD & 1 INT while averaging 164.0 passing yards per game. Robinson has also been the teams leading rusher as he has 112 rushing yards and 3 TD’s on 10 carries this season. In the backfield with Robinson has been the RB duo of Darius Anderson (8.5 att/g; 52.5 yds/g) and Sewo Olonilua (8.0 att/g; 51.0 yds/g). The leading receivers for the Horned Frogs have been KaVontae Turpin (4.0 rec/g; 55.5 yds/g; TD), Jalen Reagor (3.5 rec/g; 45.0 yds/g; TD), and Derius Davis (1.5 rec/g; 24.5 yds/g, TD). Defensively, TCU is holding their opponents to an average of 9.5 ppg on 213.5 total yards per game (106.0 passing yds/g; 107.5 rushing yds/g).
The Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. Big 12 opponents. The Horned Frogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Both Ohio State and TCU have been putting up monster offensive performances to start the season however, this will be the first true test for each offense as both the Buckeyes and Horned Frogs have strong defenses. TCU will have a somewhat home advantage playing in Texas, however, I’m just not sure if Shawn Robinson is ready at this point in his career to be successful against a top-tier program like the Buckeyes. I’m waiting to see what the over/under is in this one as I’m initially leaning on taking the under as I expect it to be a bit inflated based on the early season performances of each offense however, for the game itself, I think the Buckeyes and their offense will be able to do enough to cover this double-digit spread.