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Penn State vs. Kent State - 9/15/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kent State Golden Flashes (1-1) at Penn State Nittany Lions (2-0)

College Football: Saturday, September 15, 2018 at 12:00 pm (Beaver Stadium)

The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions -34.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

The Kent State Golden Flashes and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in college football action at Beaver Stadium.

The Kent State Golden Flashes look for a monster road victory while winning two of their first three games for the first time since 2012. The Kent State Golden Flashes haven’t won a road game since October of 2016. Woody Barrett is completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 426 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Barrett enters this game with 98 career pass attempts under his belt. Raekwon James and Isaiah McKoy have combined for 150 receiving yards and one touchdown while Mike Carrigan has 10 receptions. The Kent State Golden Flashes ground game is averaging 269 yards per contest, and Justin Rankin leads the way with 199 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Kent State is allowing 22.5 points and 369.5 yards per game. Matt Bahr leads the Kent State Golden Flashes with 18 tackles, Theo Eboigbe has two sacks and Juantez McRae has one interception.

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Penn State vs. Kent State - 9/15/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The Penn State Nittany Lions have a chance to start a season 3-0 for the third time in the last five years. The Penn State Nittany Lions haven’t lost a home game since November of 2015. Trace McSorley is completing 52.3 percent of his passes for 374 yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions. McSorley has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last eight games. KJ Hamler and Juwan Johnson have combined for 197 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Brandon Polk has four receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 208 yards per contest, and Miles Sanders leads the way with 209 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 22 points and 375.5 yards per game. Jan Johnson leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 16 tackles, Shaka Toney has one sack and Amani Oruwariye has two interceptions.

The Golden Flashes are 5-12 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big Ten and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on grass. The Nittany Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games, 10-3-2 ATS in their last 15 home games and 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The over is 5-0 in Nittany Lions last 5 games overall and the over is 5-2 in Golden Flashes last 7 games overall.

The Kent State Golden Flashes blowing out Howard doesn't move the needle for me, as this team has gotten beat up badly over the years and hasn't been great ATS despite often getting big numbers. The Penn State Nittany Lions looked like the title contender I expected to see last week, absolutely beating the hell out of rival Pittsburgh and getting that offense going. As long as Penn State brings that same energy for this game, there's nothing Kent State can do with the Nittany Lions. The Penn State Nittany Lions have also covered five of their last eight games when favored by at least 25 points. While I've never been the heavy chalk guy, there's no reason to think this game is going to be close. PSU rolls in back-to-back blowout victories.

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