Texas vs. USC - 9/15/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
USC Trojans (1-1) at Texas Longhorns (1-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 15, 2018 at 8:00 pm (Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Texas Longhorns -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Fox; Fox Sports Go
The 22nd ranked USC Trojans will travel to Royal Texas Memorial Stadium to take on the Texas Longhorns this upcoming Saturday night in College Football action.
The 22nd ranked USC Trojans fell to 1-1 on the season after being defeated by the 10 ranked Stanford Cardinal, 17-3, this past Saturday night. USC did a nice job containing the Cardinal offense, however, had no answers on the offensive side of the ball and couldn’t fight back Stanford went into halftime with a 14-0 lead. USC was outgained by Stanford by a 342-332 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin. Leading the way for the Trojans was WR Tyler Vaughns who had 7 receptions for 84 yards. Offensively, after their two games against UNLV and Stanford, USC is averaging 23.0 ppg on 416.5 total yards per game (250.0 passing yds/g; 166.5 rushing yds/g). Leading the way for the Trojans offense has been rushing trio of Aca’Cedric Ware (14.0 att/g; 79.5 yds/g; TD), Stephen Carr (9.5 att/g; 53.0 yds/g), and Vavae Malepeai (5.5 att/g; 32.5 yds/g; 2 TD). Freshman QB JT Daniels has completed 53.6% of his passes for 1 TD & 2 INT while averaging 248.5 passing yds/g. The top receivers for the Daniels and the Trojans have been Amon-Ra St. Brown (4.5 rec/g; 68.5 yds/g; TD), Tyler Vaughns (5.0 rec/g; 60.5 yds/g), and Michael Pittman Jr. (2.0 rec/g’ 50.5 yds/g). Defensively, USC is holding their opponents to an average of 19.0 ppg on 373.5 total yards per game (140.0 passing yds/g; 233.5 rushing yds/g).
Jamie Harms-USA TODAY Sports
The Texas Longhorns rebounded after their season opener loss to Maryland to improve to 1-1 on the season after they defeated the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 28-21, this past Saturday. Texas jumped all over Tulsa early in this one as they took a 21-0 halftime lead, however, needed to hold off a late Tulsa charge to secure the victory. Leading the way for the Longhorns was QB Sam Ehlinger who completed 21 of 27 passes for 237 yards and 2 TD’s while also adding 51 rushing yards and a TD on 12 carries. Offensively, after their two games against Maryland and Tulsa, the Longhorns are averaging 28.5 ppg on 441.5 total yards per game (250.0 passing yds/g; 191.5 rushing yds/g). Leading the way for Texas on the season has been QB Sam Ehlinger who has completed 63.6% of his passes for 4 TD & 2 INT while averaging 250.0 passing yds/g. Ehlinger also can get it done with his legs when he needs to as he has 81 yards and a TD on 19 total carries on the season. In the backfield with Ehlinger has been the RB duo of Tre Watson (15.0 att/g; 63.0 yds/g) and Keaontay Ingram (8.0 att/g; 50.5 yds/g; 2 TD). The top targets at the receiver position for the Longhorns this season has been Lil’Jordan Humphrey (6.5 rec/g; 95.5 yds/g; TD), Collin Johnson (3.5 rec/g; 48.0 yds/g; TD), and Devin Duvernay (2.5 rec/g; 32.0 yds/g; TD). Defensively, Texas is allowing their opponents to average 27.5 ppg on 38.0 total yards per game (214.0 passing yds/g; 166.0 rushing yds/g).
The Trojans are 11-27-1 ATS in their last 39 road games and just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. The Longhorns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. Pac-12 opponents however, are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Both USC and Texas have had lack-luster starts to their season as USC didn’t put up much of a fight agianst Stanford while Texas opened their season for the 2nd straight year with a loss against Maryland. USC has some solid talent on the defense end however, their offense is going to be a work in progress as they are relying on many underclassman to perform immediate at the impact positions, including QB. Texas gave USC all they could handle last season on the road in a 27-24 (2 OT) loss and between the fact that I feel their defense will get up for a game of this magnitude along with the fact they have solid QB in Sam Ehlinger leading the offensive charge, I’m initially leaning on taking the Longhorns will be getting a small amount of points here.