UCF vs. Florida Atlantic - 9/21/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UCF vs. Florida Atlantic - 9/21/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

Florida Atlantic Owls (2-1) at UCF Knights (2-0)

College Football: Friday, September 21, 2018 at 7:00 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)

The Line: UCF Knights -13.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

TV: ESPN Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Florida Atlantic Owls and UCF Knights meet Friday in college football action at Spectrum Stadium.

The Florida Atlantic Owls look for a statement road victory to create a three-game winning streak heading into conference play. The Florida Atlantic Owls have won four of their last five road games. Chris Robison is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 799 yards, four touchdowns and two interceptions. Robison enters this game with 93 career pass attempts under his belt. Jovon Durante and Tavaris Harrison have combined for 493 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Harrison Bryant has nine receptions. The Florida Atlantic Owls ground game is averaging 187.3 yards per contest, and Devin Singletary leads the way with 210 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Florida Atlantic is allowing 39.3 points and 460 yards per game. Rashad Smith leads the Florida Atlantic Owls with 28 tackles, Ernest Bagner has two tackles for loss and James Pierre has two pass deflections. 

The UCF Knights haven’t lost since December of 2016 and had an extra week to prepare after their game against North Carolina was canceled. The UCF Knights haven’t lost a home game since December of 2016. McKenzie Milton is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 589 yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions. Milton has a combined 13 touchdown passes in his last four games. Tre Nixon and Gabriel Davis have combined for 305 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Dredrick Snelson has 11 receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 306 yards per contest, and Adrian Killins Jr. leads the way with 127 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing 8.5 points and 371.5 yards per game. Pat Jasinski leads the UCF Knights with 18 tackles, Brendon Hayes has one sack and Richie Grant has two interceptions.

Wonder who the Top Experts Picked? Click Here To Find Out

The Owls are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games on grass and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games. The Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games overall and the over is 5-1 in Owls last 6 road games.

The UCF Knights have had an extra week to prepare for this game, but this is also the first time this year they've played real competition, as games against UConn and South Carolina State don't do anything for me. The FAU Owls gained serious experience in the beatdown against the Oklahoma Sooners, and Singletary, the most underrated running back in the country, is back to running over defenses. You know Lane Kiffin will have some creative offensive packages to unleash in this game and the Knights defense has had issues stopping the run at times, as they have allowed 16 runs of 10-plus yards in two games. The UCF Knights are also just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games when a double-digit favorite. The Owls should be able to keep up offensively in what should be a back and forth game. I like the points here. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Florida Atlantic Owls +13.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Mitch's Dog of the Day 12/5/20: Free College Football Pick CFB Picks, Predictions and Betting Tip