Washington State at USC - 9/21/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Washington State Cougars (3-0) at USC Trojans (1-2)
College Football: Friday, September 21, 2018 at 10:30 pm (Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum)
The Line: USC Trojans -4.5 -- Over/Under: 51 See the Latest Odds
The Washington State Cougars and USC Trojans meet Friday in college football action at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.
The Washington State Cougars look for a monster conference road victory to start 4-0 for the second straight season. The Washington State Cougars have split their last six road games. Gardner Minshew II is completing 70.9 percent of his passes for 1,203 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions. Minshew has two or more touchdown passes in each of his last five games. Davontavean Martin and Jamire Calvin have combined for 478 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Dezmon Patmon has 13 receptions. The Washington State Cougars ground game is averaging 80 yards per contest, and James Williams leads the way with 137 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Washington State is allowing 14.3 points and 236.3 yards per game. Skyler Thomas leads the Washington State Cougars with 23 tackles, Dominick Silvels has two sacks and Jalen Thompson has one interception.
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The USC Trojans need a feel good victory here to get back to a .500 record. The USC Trojans haven’t lost a home game since October of 2015. JT Daniels is completing 57.3 percent of his passes for 819 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Daniels has 10 pass completions of 25-plus yards this season. Amon-Ra St. Brown and Tyler Vaughns have combined for 461 receiving yards and one touchdown while Michael Pittman Jr. has eight receptions. The USC Trojans ground game is averaging 109.3 yards per contest, and Aca'Cedric Ware leads the way with 167 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, USC is allowing 25 points and 380.3 yards per game. Cameron Smith leads the USC Trojans with 25 tackles, Porter Gustin has 3.5 sacks and Isaiah Langley has four pass deflections.
The Cougars are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Friday games and 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall. The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
The Washington State Cougars and the points are worth a strong look here when you consider they've covered nine of their last 13 games when an underdog of at least three points. The USC Trojans have been very shaky on the defensive side and have a quarterback who hasn't exactly played well in his first few games. USC has also failed to cover 10 of its last 14 games when a favorite of at least three points. If going with a side here, I'd want the points and Washington State. However, my pick here will be with the over. Both of these teams should be able to get what they want offensively, especially Washington State, who throws the ball a ton and has produced an over in five of its last six games. Also, eight of the last 10 meetings between Washington State and USC have combined for no less than 50 points. Expect some fireworks Friday night, and instead of playing with the spead, make a safer bet by siding with the over.