Arkansas State vs. UNLV - 9/22/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UNLV Rebels (2-1) at Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 22, 2018 at 7:00 pm (Centennial Bank Stadium)
The Line: Arkansas State Red Wolves -6.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The UNLV Rebels will travel to Centennial Bank Stadium to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves this Saturday night in College Football action.
The UNLV Rebels improved to 2-1 (0-0 MW) on the season after defeating the Prairie View Panthers, 46-17 this past Saturday. UNLV had no trouble taking care of business early agianst Prairie View as they raced out to a 20-0 lead by the end of the 1st quarter and had a 34-0 lead at halftime. UNLV outgained Prairie View by a 448-337 margin and forced the Panthers into committing 3 turnovers in the win. Leading the way for the Rebels was QB Armani Rodgers who combined for 5 total TD’s (1 passing; 4 rushing) and 252 total yards (130 passing; 122 rushing). On the season, UNLV is averaging 39.7 ppg on 462.0 total yards per game (115.3 passing yds/g; 346.7 passing yds/g). Offensively, UNLV has been led by QB Armani Rogers who has completed 47.5% of his passes for 6 TD & 1 INT while averaging 115.3 passing yds/g. Rogers is a duel-threat QB who can beat you with is legs as on the season, he has 5 TD’s while averaging 102.3 rushing yds/g on 15.0 att/g. In the backfield with Rogers is RB Lexington Thomas who had 4 TD’s on the season and is averaging 129.0 rushing yds/g on 20.3 att/g. The top receivers for the Rebels have been Mekhi Stevenson (1.7 rec/g; 27.7 yds/g; TD), Darren Woods Jr. (2.0 rec/g; 31.0 yds/g; TD), and Tyleek Collins (1.7 rec/g; 18.3 yds/g; TD). Defensively, UNLV is allowing their opponents to average 32.7 ppg on 407.7 total yards per game (218.7 passing yds/g; 189.0 rushing yds/g).
Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports
The Arkansas State Red Wolves improved to 2-1 (0-0 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 29-20, this past Saturday. Arkansas State was outstanding on both ends of the field and pull the game away after a Demari Medley 53-yard pick six gave the Red Wolves a 27-7 lead with 10:25 left in the 3rd quarter. Leading the way for the Red Wolves was QB Justice Hansen who completed 20 of 33 passes for 191 yards while also adding 80 rushing yards and a TD on the ground. On the season, Arkansas State is averaging 28.0 ppg on 490.7 total yards per game (302.0 passing yds/g; 188.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arkansas State has been led by QB Justice Hansen who has completed 58.1% of his passes for 7 TD & 2 INT while averaging 251.3 passing yds/g. Leading the way for the Red Wolves backfield has been Warren Wand (10.7 att/g; 51.0 yds/g), Armond Weh-Weh (9.0 att/g; 45.3 yds/g), and Marcel Murray (8.7 yds/g; 41.3 yds/g; TD). The top receivers for the Red Wolves have been Justin McInnis (4.0 rec/g; 44.7 yds/g; TD), Kirk Merritt (4.3 rec/g; 37.3 yds/g), Omar Bayless (2.5 rec/g; 51.5 yds/g; TD), and Kendrick Edwards (2.0 rec/g; 29.3 yds/g; 2 TD). Defensviely, Arkansas State is allowing their opponents to average 32.7 ppg on 490.7 total yards per game (302.0 passing yds/g; 188.7 rushing yds/g).
The Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Red Wolves are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win however, are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
UNLV is a team that is on the rise as the Rebels gave USC more of a game than anyone expected int their season opener and has steamrolled their two other weaker opponents in UTEP and Prairie View. Arkansas State is one of the best teams in the Sub Belt this season and has an offense that can put points up in a hurry just like we saw last season, when they averaged 37.8 ppg. I expect this to be a high scoring shootout and although the Red Wolves will be tough to beat on the road, UNLV has an offense that should be able to keep up with Arkansas State and I’ll think they’ll due just enough to cover with the points.