Oregon State vs. Arizona - 9/22/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona Wildcats (1-2) at Oregon State Beavers (1-2)
College Football: Saturday, September 22, 2018 at 4:00 pm (Reser Stadium)
The Line: Oregon State Beavers +6.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Pac-12 Networks
The Arizona Wildcats will travel to Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Arizona Wildcats picked up their 1st win of the season, improving to 1-2 (0-0 Pac-12) on the season, after easily defeating the FCS Southern Utah Thunderbirds, 62-31, this past Saturday. Arizona led by just a 24-17 margin at halftime, however, had a big 3rd quarter in which they scored 24 unanswered points and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 48-17 lead. Arizona outgained Southern Utah by a 626-463 margin however, did struggle a bit defensively as they allowed the Thunderbirds to get 30 1st downs in the victory. Leading the way for the Wildcats was QB Khalil Tate who completed 13 of 20 passes for 349 yards and 5 TD’s. On the season, Arizona is averaging 34.3 ppg on 494.3 total yards per game (312.0 passing yds/g; 182.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arizona is led by QB Khalil Tate who has completed 54.5% of his passes for 6 TD & 2 INT while averaging 295.7 passing yds/g. The top receivers for Tate and the Wildcats have been Shawn Poindexter (4.0 rec/g; 92.3 yds/g; TD), Tony Ellison (4.0 rec/g; 80.3 yds/g; 2 TD), and Shun Brown (5.0 rec/g; 60.3 yds/g; 2 TD). Leading the way for the Wildcats backfield has been J.J. Taylor (14.7 att/g; 64.3 yds/g; TD) and Gary Brightwell (10.3 att/g; 51.7 yds/g). Defensively, Arizona is allowing their opponents to average 34.7 ppg on 468.7 total yards per game (244.3 passing yds/g; 224.3 rushing yds/g).
Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
The Oregon State Beavers dropped to 1-2 (0-0 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the Nevada Wolf Pack, 37-35, this past Saturday. Oregon State fought back from a 30-7 2nd quarter deficit and had a chance to pull off the come from behind victory, however, the Beavers missed a 33-yard FG in the closing seconds. Oregon State outgained Nevada by a 540-357 margin however, lost the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin. Leading the way for the Beavers was WR Isaiah Hodgins who had 200 receiving yards and 2 TD’s on 14 receptions. On the season, Oregon State is averaging 38.0 ppg on 527.0 total yards per game (314.7 passing yds/g; 212.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, the Beavers have been led by WR Isaiah Hodgins who one the season has 20 receptions for 299 yards and 2 TD’s. Also contributing in the passing game for the receivers has been Timmy Hernandez (5.0 rec/g; 55.7 yds/g) and Trevon Bradford (3.0 rec/g; 50.3 yds/g; 3 TD). QB Conor Blount has been solid on the season as he has completed 63.9% of his passes for 4 TD & 1 INT while averaging 190.0 passing yds/g. Leading the way for the Beavers back field has been Jermar Jefferson (18.3 att/g; 130.3 yds/g; 6 TD) and Artavis Pierce (11.0 att/g; 129.5 yds/g; 3 TD). Defensively, Oregon State is allowing their opponents to average 46.3 ppg on 522.0 total yards per game (295.7 passing yds/g; 226.3 rushing yds/g).
The Wildcats are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record however, are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Beavers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.
It’s not been the start to the season the Wildcats had hoped and although they do have a dynamic QB and an offense that can put up points, it has to be concerning to see the issues that the Wildcats defense has had. Oregon State is still rebuilding however, their offense has been solid this season and you have to like how they fought back to almost pick a nice road victory after being down by 23 points in the 1st half. I don’t love how Arizona seems content to not really allow Khalil Tate to run the ball, especially after we saw him light up teams with his legs last season, and although this game has all the makings to be a high-scoring shootout, I think the Beavers will do enough at home to at worst, cover with the points.