Colorado vs. UCLA - 9/28/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Colorado vs. UCLA - 9/28/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

UCLA Bruins (0-3) at Colorado Buffaloes (3-0)

College Football: Friday, September 28, 2018 at 9:00 pm (Folsom Field)

The Line: Colorado Buffaloes -11.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The UCLA Bruins will travel to Folsom Field to take on the Colorado Buffaloes this Friday night in College Football action.

The UCLA Bruins are still looking for their first win on the season as the Bruins fell to 0-3 (0-0 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the Fresno State Bulldogs, 38-14, on September 15th. UCLA struggled on both ends of the field in this one and couldn’t fight back after a Marcus McMaryion 1-yd TD run with 3:43 left in regulation gave Fresno State a 31-14 lead. UCLA was outgained by Fresno State by a 420-270 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 4-2 margin. Leading the way for the Bruins was Theo Howard who had 80 yards and a TD on 4 receptions. On the season, UCLA is averaging 17.3 ppg on 319.7 total yards per game (189.0 passing yds/g; 130.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, UCLA has been led by QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson who has completed 54.7% of his passes for 2 TD & 2 INT while averaging 174.0 passing yards per game. The top receivers for the Bruins have been Theo Howard (3.7 rec/g; 61.7 yds/g; TD), Caleb Wilson (2.7 rec/g; 42.7 yds/g), and Chase Cota (2.3 rec/g; 32.7 yds/g). Leading the way for the Bruins backfield has been Kazmeir Allen (7.0 att/g; 53.7 yds/g; TD) and Bolu Olorunfunmi (9.3 att/g; 25.3 yds/g; 4 TD). Defensviely, UCLA is allowing their opponents to average 37.7 ppg on 403.0 total yards per game (228.7 passing yds/g; 174.3 rushing yds/g).

The Colorado Buffaloes continued their strong start to the season, improving to 3-0 on the season after defeating the FCS New Hampshire Wildcats, 45-14 last Saturday. Colorado jumped all over UNH early in this one and had no trouble securing the home victory after taking a 28-0 halftime lead. Colorado outgained New Hampshire by a 491-270 margin and won the turnover battle by a 3-2 margin. Leading the way for the Buffaloes was Travon McMillian who had 162 rushing yards and 2 TD’s on 15 carries. On the season, Colorado is averaging 41.0 ppg on 494.0 total yards per game (289.7 passing yds/g; 204.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Colorado has been led by QB Steven Montez who has completed 73.4% of his passes for 8 TD & 2 INT while averaging 285.0 passing yds/g. The top receivers for the Buffaloes have been Laviska Shenault Jr. (8.7 rec/g; 151.7 yds/g; 3 TD), K.D. Nixon (5.7 rec/g; 60.3 yds/g; TD), Juwann Winfree (3.5 rec/g; 27.5 yds/g; TD), and Jay MacIntyre (3.0 rec/g; 18.3 yds/g; 2 TD). Leading the way for the Colorado backfield is Travon McMillian who had 3 TD’s on the season and is averaging 96.7 rushing yds/g on 11.0 att/g. Defensively, Colorado is holding their opponents to an average of 18.3 ppg on 373.0 total yards per game (215.0 passing yds/g; 158 rushing yds/g).

Get the Experts BEST BETS For Today's Games

The Bruins are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 conference games and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Buffaloes are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall and just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.

UCLA has not had the start they envisioned under new head coach Chip Kelly as they are 0-3 and had to deal with off the field distractions during their off week after their talented freshman QB, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, father went to social media to express his displeasure with Chip Kelly. Colorado has had a nice start to their season and has a very solid offense with an underrated QB in Stephen Montez and solid impact players in WR Laviska Shenault Jr and RB Travon McMillian. Colorado is the better here, however, it’s really hard to tell this early if the Buffaloes should be a double-digit favorite over any team as generally, this is a team that has trouble covering larger spreads. It’s tough to trust UCLA right now, but they have two weeks to prepare for this one and I think they’ll keep this one close enough to cover with the points.  

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Brett’s Pick UCLA Bruins +11.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

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