Air Force vs. Nevada - 9/29/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Air Force vs. Nevada - 9/29/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

Nevada Wolf Pack (2-2) at Air Force Falcons (1-2)

College Football: Saturday, September 29, 2018 at 4:00 pm (Falcon Stadium)

The Line: Air Force Falcons -8.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Nevada Wolf Pack will face off against the Air Force Falcons in college football activity on Saturday from Falcon Stadium. 

Nevada comes into this game with a 2-2 record overall. The Wolf Pack have posted wins over Portland State 72-19 and Oregon State 37-35, but also lost to Vanderbilt 41-10 and Toledo 63-44. 

In that Toledo game, Nevada QB Ty Gangi put up 320 yards with one TD and one INT, while ToToaa Taua led the rush on 170 yards and three scores. Kaleb Fossum also had a nice day for the Pack, with 150 yards on 14 receptions. 

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Over on the Air Force side, they’re currently 1-2 this season. The Falcons managed to get a victory over Stony Brook in their opener, but then dropped their next pair of games versus Florida Atlantic 33-27 and Utah State 42-32. 

In the Utah State game, Air Force QB Isaiah Sanders logged 125 yards on 9-of-17 passing, and Kadin Remsberg led the rush with 94 yards and a score. Marcus Bennett posted five catches for 74 yards to lead the Falcons in receiving. 

The Pack are 4-0 ATS versus a team with a losing record and 5-2 ATS in their last seven conference games. Nevada is also 0-7 ATS in their last seven games in September and 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. 

Meanwhile, the Falcons are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in September and 8-24 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight-up loss. Air Force is also 3-13 ATS in they last 16 conference games and the under is 4-1 in the last five home games. 

The early returns on Nevada’s offense have been pretty good, as they’ve failed to score at least 37 points just once this year (10 against Vanderbilt). The issue is going to be defensive effort here, as the Pack are giving up a lot of points this season. 

As for Air Force, they do have some solid playmakers and a nice running game, but they haven’t really been able to balance that with defense, either. I’m going to give Nevada a slight cover advantage in what should be a good game to watch, but for me the play is the over.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Andrew’s Pick Nevada Wolf Pack +8.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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