Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas State - 9/29/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas State - 9/29/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Joshua S. Kelly-USA TODAY Sports

Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-1) at Georgia Southern Eagles (2-1)

College Football: Saturday, September 29, 2018 at 6:00 pm (Paulson Stadium)

The Line: Georgia Southern Eagles +4 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Georgia Southern Eagles meet Saturday in college football action at Allen E. Paulson Stadium.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves look for their second road victory of the season to keep pace in the Sun Belt West. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have won four of their last six road games. Justice Hansen is completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 953 yards, 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. Hansen has two or more touchdown passes in 12 of his last 15 games. Justin McInnis and Kirk Merritt have combined for 319 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Omar Bayless has eight receptions. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 190 yards per contest, and Marcel Murray leads the way with 219 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 29.5 points and 388.3 yards per game. Darreon Jackson leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 38 tackles, Forrest Merrill has three sacks and Jerry Jacobs has two interceptions.

The Georgia Southern Eagles hope to remain unbeaten at home to keep pace in the Sun Belt East. The Georgia Southern Eagles have won each of their last three home games. Shai Werts is completing 54.2 percent of his passes for 203 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions. Werts has four pass completions this season of 25 or more yards. Wesley Kennedy III and Malik Murray have combined for 180 receiving yards on six receptions while Colby Ransom has three receptions. The Georgia Southern Eagles ground game is averaging 244.3 yards per contest, and Werts leads the way with 256 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Georgia Southern is allowing 19 points and 356.3 yards per game. Monquavion Brinson leads the Georgia Southern Eagles with 18 tackles, Deshon Cooper has one sack and Tomarcio Reese has one interception.

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The Red Wolves are 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 conference games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games overall and the under is 18-8-1 in Red Wolves last 27 games overall.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves have had their way with teams outside of Alabama, and each of their last 17 victories have been decided by at least seven points. The Georgia Southern Eagles haven't really played anybody yet outside of Clemson, which they picked up only seven first downs the whole game and scored a garbage time touchdown late. Arkansas State beat up on Georgia Southern last year and has the offensive firepower to do the same here against the one dimensional Eagles. If Georgia Southern gets down early, this game could get out of hand rather quickly. I'll take Arkansas State on the road and the reasonable chalk. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Arkansas State Red Wolves -4

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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