Northwestern vs. Michigan - 9/29/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by David Banks-USA TODAY Sports
Michigan Wolverines (3-1) at Northwestern Wildcats (1-2)
College Football: Saturday, September 29, 2018 at 4:30 pm (Ryan Field)
The Line: Northwestern Wildcats +13 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Michigan Wolverines and Northwestern Wildcats meet Saturday in college football action at Ryan Field.
The Michigan Wolverines look for their first road victory of the season and fourth straight win overall to stay in the college football playoff conversation. The Michigan Wolverines have lost three of their last four road games. Shea Patterson is completing 70.1 percent of his passes for 709 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Patterson has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 11 games. Donovan Peoples-Jones and Zach Gentry have combined for 317 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Nico Collins has seven receptions. The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 212 yards per contest, and Karan Higdon leads the way with 364 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 14.3 points and 240.3 yards per game. Devin Bush leads the Michigan Wolverines with 29 tackles, Rashan Gary has two sacks and Josh Metellus has two interceptions.
The Northwestern Wildcats look for their first home victory of the season to get back to a .500 record. The Northwestern Wildcats have won eight of their last 12 home games. Clayton Thorson is completing 61.2 percent of his passes for 753 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Thorson has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. Flynn Nagel and Cameron Green have combined for 409 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Bennett Skowronek has 14 receptions. The Northwestern Wildcats ground game is averaging 117 yards per contest, and Jeremy Larkin leads the way with 346 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Northwestern is allowing 29 points and 380 yards per game. Paddy Fisher leads the Northwestern Wildcats with 28 tackles, Joe Gaziano has two sacks and JR Pace has one interception.
The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. The Wildcats are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 conference games, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Northwestern.
The Northwestern Wildcats have had an extra week to prepare for this game and have covered eight of their last 11 games when a double-digit underdog. However, I'm not sure any of that matters with the way Northwestern has played up to this point, as the defense isn't getting off the field and the quarterback play hasn't improved. The Michigan Wolverines seem to be getting better each week, as the defense continues to prove its one of the best in the country and Patterson is showing flashes of being the quarterback we expected to see. With Northwestern having issues against Duke and Akron, I can only imagine how bad it's going to be against these Wolverines. I'll take the road team in a blowout.