Penn State vs. Ohio State - 9/29/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Ohio State Buckeyes (4-0) at Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 29, 2018 at 7:30 pm (Beaver Stadium)
The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions +4 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Ohio State Buckeyes and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in college football action at Beaver Stadium.
The Ohio State Buckeyes look for a statement conference victory to start 5-0 for the fifth time in the last seven years. The Ohio State Buckeyes have won 13 of their last 15 road games. Dwayne Haskins is completing 75.7 percent of his passes for 1,194 yards, 16 touchdowns and one interception. Haskins has 20 touchdown passes on 172 career pass attempts. Parris Campbell and K.J. Hill have combined for 558 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Terry McLaurin has nine receptions. The Ohio State Buckeyes ground game is averaging 233.2 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 323 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Ohio State is allowing 17 points and 323.3 yards per game. Jahsen Wint leads the Ohio State Buckeyes with 15 tackles, Nick Bosa has four sacks and Kendall Sheffield has one interception.
The Penn State Nittany Lions look to emerge as national title contenders while starting a season 5-0 for the season straight year. The Penn State Nittany Lions haven’t lost a road game since November of 2015. Trace McSorley is completing 53.8 percent of his passes for 763 yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions. McSorley has two or more touchdown passes in nine of his last 10 games. KJ Hamler and Juwan Johnson have combined for 311 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Brandon Polk has six receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 275 yards per contest, and Miles Sanders leads the way with 495 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 19.5 points and 345.8 yards per game. Jan Johnson leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 24 tackles, Shareef Miller has three sacks and Amani Oruwariye has two interceptions.
The Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September, 37-16 ATS in their last 53 games on grass and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September, 11-3-2 ATS in their last 16 home games and 20-5-2 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The over is 25-10 in Nittany Lions last 35 games overall and the over is 6-1 in Buckeyes last 7 road games.
As impressive as the Ohio State Buckeyes have been this season, the Penn State Nittany Lions have played just as well. In its last three games, Penn State has outscored teams 177-40, and that includes having to play two of those contests on the road. Ohio State gets Urban Meyer back and is explosive on both sides of the ball, but it's nothing Penn State hasn't seen before. In fact, the Nittany Lions lost last years meeting on the road by one point and won the last meeting in Happy Valley outright despite being 17.5 point underdogs. PSU can go toe-to-toe with Ohio State offensively with the leadership at quarterback, and the Nittany Lions defense is good enough to get key stops. These teams are about even in my eyes, so the fact we're getting four free points with Penn State at home, a place that's going to be rocking, I'll take it. The Penn State Nittany Lions have also covered four of their last five games when an underdog of at least three points.