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Troy Trojans vs. Georgia State Panthers - 10/4/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Georgia State Panthers (2-3) at Troy Trojans (4-1)

College Football: Thursday, October 4, 2018 at 7:30 pm (Veterans Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Troy Trojans -17.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN U

The Georgia State Panthers will travel to Veterans Memorial (AL) to take on the Troy Trojans this upcoming Thursday in College Football action.

The Georgia State Panthers snapped their 3-game losing streak and improved to 2-3 (1-0 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, 46-14, this past Saturday. Georgia State found the scoreboard early and often against the Warhawks and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 30-14 halftime lead. Georgia State outgained Louisiana-Monroe by a 487-262 margin and won the turnover battle by a 4-1 margin. Leading the way for the Panthers was RB Seth Paige who had 145 rushing yards & 2 TD’s on just 9 carries. On the season, Georgia State is averaging 22.8 ppg on 361.2 total yards per game (206.4 passing yds/g; 154.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Georgia State has been led by QB Dan Ellington who has completed 65.1% of his passes for 4 TD & 2 INT while averaging 190.4 passing yds/g. Ellington has also been the leading rusher for the Panthers as he has 4 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 42.2 rushing yds/g. In the backfield with Ellington has been Seth Paige (4.6 att/g; 37.6 yds/g; 3 TD), Destin Coates (6.4 att/g; 27.4 yds/g, TD), and Tra Barnett (8.8 att/g; 26.2 yds/g; TD). The top receivers for the Panthers have been Penny Hart (4.8 rec/g; 53.4 yds/g; TD) and Cornelius McCoy (2.8 rec/g; 30.6 yds/g). Defensively, Georgia State is allowing their opponents to average 33.6 ppg on 478.4 total yards per game (253.4 passing yds/g; 225.0 rushing yds/g).

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Troy Trojans vs. Georgia State Panthers - 10/4/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Bruce Thorson-USA TODAY Sports

The Troy Trojans won their 4th straight game and improved to 4-1 (2-0 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, 45-21, this past Saturday. Troy jumped all over Coastal Carolina early in this one taking a 21-0 lead with 3:49 left in the 1st quarter and pulled away after taking a 38-21 lead with 3:54 left in the 3rd quarter. Troy outgained Coastal Carolina by a 467-317 margin and forced the Chanticleers into committing two turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Trojans was the backfield duo of Jabir Daughtry-Frye (5 att; 140 rushing yds; TD) & B.J. Smith (10 att; 103 rushing yds; 2 TD). On the season, Troy is averaging 36.6 ppg on 409.0 total yards per game (212.8 passing yds/g; 196.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Troy has been led by led by the RB duo of B.J. Smith (11.2 att/g; 66.6 yds/g; 6 TD) & Jabir Daughtry-Frye (5.2 att/g; 58.2 yds/g; 2 TD). QB Kaleb Barker has completed 71.6% of his passes for 8 TD & 2 INT while averaging 175.4 passing yds/g. Barker has also been able to get it down with his legs as he has 3 rushing TD on the season while averaging 30.0 rushing yds/g on 10.4 att/g. The top receivers for the Trojans have been Deondre Douglas (4.6 rec/g; 52.6 yds/g; 3 TD), Damion Willis (3.6 rec/g; 47.8 yds/g; 4 TD), and Sidney Davis (3.0 rec/g; 33.2 yds/g; 2 TD). Defensively, Troy is allowing their opponents to average 26.0 ppg on 374.8 total yards per game (232.6 passing yds/g; 142.2 rushing yds/g).

The Panthers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October however, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games. The Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Georgia State is an up and coming program in the Sun Belt however, there are still pretty young and need to find some answers on the defensive end, as they current rank just 81st in total defense in all of College Football. Troy is the team to beat in the Sub Belt this season as although they didn’t look great agianst Boise State to kick off their season, they’ve picked up nice road wins agianst Nebraska and Louisiana Monroe. Troy’s offense is going to be tough for the Panthers to slow down, especially on the road, and as I think the Trojans defense will give Georgia State some trouble, I’m taking the Trojans to cover this large home spread.

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