Baylor vs. Kansas State - 10/6/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kansas State Wildcats (2-3) at Baylor Bears (3-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 6, 2018 at 3:30 pm (McLane Stadium)
The Line: Baylor Bears -3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: FS1; Fox Sports Go
The Kansas State Wildcats will travel to McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Kansas State Wildcats lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 2-3 (0-12 Big 12) on the season after being defeated by the 18th ranked Texas Longhorns, 19-14, this past Saturday. Kansas State fought back from a 19-0 halftime deficit to make it a game late, however, after a three and out with just under five minutes left in regulation, the Wildcats couldn’t get a stop late and allowed the Longhorns to run out the clock. Kansas State was outgained by Texas by a 339-217 margin and couldn’t force any turnovers against the Longhorns. On the season, Kansas State is averaging 19.6 ppg on 321.0 total yards per game (174.8 passing yds/g; 146.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Kansas State has been led by RB Alex Barnes who has 2 TD’s on the season and is averaging 71.4 rushing yds/g on 16.4 att/g. QB Skylar Thompson has completed 56.0% of his passes for 4 TD & 1 INT while averaging 120.2 passing yds/g. Thompson is also a treat with his legs as has 2 rushing TD’s on the season and is averaging 35.0 rushing yds/g. The main threats at the receiving position for the Wildcats has been Isaiah Zuber (5.8 rec/g; 77.8 yds/g; 3 TD) and Dalton Schoen (2.8 rec/g; 52.2 yds/g; 2 TD). Defensively, Kansas State is allowing their opponents to average 25.2 ppg on 395.0 total yards per game (230.4 passing yds/g; 164.6 rushing yds/g).
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The Baylor Bears fell to 3-2 (1-1 Big 12) on the season after being defeated by the 6th ranked Oklahoma Sooners, 66-33, this past Saturday. Baylor had no answers for the Sooners Kyler Murray who accounted for 7 overall TD’s and couldn’t fight back after Oklahoma took a 42-23 lead with 4:09 left in regulation. Baylor was outgained by Oklahoma by a 607-493 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for the Bears was QB Charlie Brewer who completed 38-60 passes for 400 yards and 2 TD’s. On the season, Baylor is averaging 35.6 ppg on 488.0 total yards per game (331.4 passing yds/g; 156.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Baylor has been led by QB Charlie Brewer who has completed 63.0% of his passes for 8 TD & INT while averaging 252.4 passing yds/g. The top receivers for Brewer and the Bears have been Jalen Hurd (6.2 rec/g; 83.0 yds/g; 3 TD), Denzel Mims (6.0 rec/g; 89.8 yds/g; 2 TD), and Chris Pratt (2.8 rec/g; 4.2 yds/g; TD). Leading the way for the Baylor backfield has been led by the duo of John Lovett (8.8 att/g; 46.6 yds/g; 3 TD) and JaMycal Hasty (7.8 att/g; 45.0 yds/g; 3 TD). Defensively, Baylor is allowing their opponents to average 32.0 ppg on 399.6 total yards per game (231.6 passing yds/g; 168.0 rushing yds/g).
The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss however, are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The Bears are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
It’s been a tough start to the season for the Kansas State Wildcats as the offense has looked non-existent to begin the season and they barley avoided a major upset to the FCS South Dakota Coyotes in their home opener. Baylor is a much better team than what we saw last season, and although their defense obviously still can give up some points, their offensive attack should keep them competitive in the Big 12 this season. Kansas State should be able to find some more success on the offensive end agianst the Bears, but as I just don’t think they’ll be able to keep up with the Bears passing attack, I’m taking Baylor at home to cover this small spread.