Cincinnati vs. Tulane - 10/6/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports
Tulane Green Wave (2-3) at Cincinnati Bearcats (5-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 6, 2018 at 12:00 pm (Nippert Stadium)
The Line: Cincinnati Bearcats -7 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Tulane Green Wave and Cincinnati Bearcats meet Saturday in college football action at Nippert Stadium.
The Tulane Green Wave look for their first road win of the season to get back to a .500 record. The Tulane Green Wave have lost 10 of their last 12 road games. Jonathan Banks is completing 50.9 percent of his passes for 919 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. Banks has one or less touchdown passes six of his last nine games. Darnell Mooney and Terren Encalade have combined for 824 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Jaetavian Toles has five receptions. The Tulane Green Wave ground game is averaging 203.2 yards per contest, and Darius Bradwell leads the way with 381 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Tulane is allowing 28.8 points and 448.6 yards per game. Zachery Harris leads the Tulane Green Wave with 33 tackles, Cameron Sample has three sacks and Donnie Lewis Jr. has two interceptions.
The Cincinnati Bearcats look for another victory to start 6-0 for the first time since the 2009 college football season. The Cincinnati Bearcats have won each of their last three home games. Desmond Ridder is completing 67 percent of his passes for 888 yards, eight touchdowns and one interception. Ridder has six pass completions of 25 or more yards this season. Josiah Deguara and Kahlil Lewis have combined for 440 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Rashad Medaris has nine receptions. The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 252.2 yards per contest, and Michael Warren II leads the way with 541 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 12.2 points and 276 yards per game. Marquise Copeland leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 22 tackles, Cortez Broughton has 3.5 sacks and James Wiggins has two interceptions.
The Green Wave are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Bearcats are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 home games, 5-12 ATS in their last 17 conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 25-12-1 in Bearcats last 38 games overall and the under is 4-1 in Green Wave last 5 games overall.
The Tulane Green Wave are coming off a monster upset win over the Memphis Tigers and have now covered five of their last six games when an underdog of at least three points. Tulane is a team that simply competes at a high level and six of its last 10 losses have been decided by seven or less points. On the flipside, the Cincinnati Bearcats have given us little to no reason to bet against them, as they've been in control of every game this season and have covered four of the five victories as well. The issue here is that Cincinnati has been brutal when it comes to covering numbers at home dating back to last season, so there is reason to pause. With that said, I think it's time to accept that the Bearcats are easily one of the top teams in the AAC and shouldn't be bet against until they give us a real reason to. I'll ignore the trends and lay the reasonable chalk with the Bearcats at home.