Florida State at Miami - 10/6/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Florida State at Miami - 10/6/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Melina Vastola-USA TODAY Sports

Florida State Seminoles (3-2) at Miami-FL Hurricanes (4-1)

College Football: Saturday, October 6, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)

The Line: Miami-FL Hurricanes -13.5 -- Over/Under: 48.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Florida State Seminoles and Miami Hurricanes meet Saturday in college football action at the Hard Rock Stadium. 

The Florida State Seminoles look for a statement road victory over their rival to get back to a .500 record. The Florida State Seminoles have won four of their last seven road games. Deondre Francois is completing 62.9 percent of his passes for 1,377 yards, nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Francois has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last 10 games. Nyqwan Murray and Keith Gavin have combined for 610 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Tamorrion Terry has 11 receptions. The Florida State Seminoles ground game is averaging 97.4 yards per contest, and Cam Akers leads the way with 316 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Florida State is allowing 24.6 points and 385.4 yards per game. Hamsah Nasirildeen leads the Florida State Seminoles with 40 tackles, Brian Burns has five sacks and A.J. Westbrook has two interceptions. 

The Miami Hurricanes look for a fifth straight victory to remain in the ACC and college football playoff conversation. The Miami Hurricanes have won 10 of their last 11 home games. N’Kosi Perry is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 442 yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions. Perry enters this game with 51 career pass attempts under his belt. Jeff Thomas and Lawrence Cager have combined for 494 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Mike Harley has 15 receptions. The Miami Hurricanes ground game is averaging 213.4 yards per contest, and Travis Homer leads the way with 364 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Miami is allowing 16.8 points and 244.8 yards per game. Shaquille Quarterman leads the Miami Hurricanes with 27 tackles, Joe Jackson has three sacks and Sheldrick Redwine has two interceptions.

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The Seminoles are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, 0-9-2 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Hurricanes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in October. The Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Miami, the underdog is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings and the road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

The Florida State Seminoles have put a couple of recent wins together, but they came against two teams with losing records. The bottom line is FSU is lost on both sides of the ball and the Noles have been abused whenever playing even a slightly decent team. Beating Northern Illinois and Louisville doesn't make me think everything is fixed with Florida State. The Miami Hurricanes remain one of the top defensive teams in the country, but they now also have a quarterback capable of completing passes and allowing the offense to finish drives. For the first time in a while, Miami is a balanced football team that looks like it can make a run for an ACC title. I get that this is a rivarly and the underdog has dominated the trends with each of the last four meetings being decided by five or less points. However, these are two teams heading in different directions. There's a good chance you see Miami win in a blowout.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Miami-FL Hurricanes -13.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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