Florida vs. LSU - 10/6/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Florida vs. LSU - 10/6/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

LSU Tigers (5-0) at Florida Gators (4-1)

College Football: Saturday, October 6, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Ben Hill Griffin Stadium)

The Line: Florida Gators +3.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators meet in a week 6 SEC college football showdown from Gainesville, FL on Saturday afternoon.

The LSU Tigers will look to remain unbeaten after improving to 5-0 with a 45-16 win over Ole Miss in their last outing. Joe Burrow has thrown for 1,023 yards on 70 of 131 passing with 6 touchdowns while Nick Brossette has 481 rushing yards with 6 touchdowns and Clyde Edwards-Helaire has 275 rushing yards with 5 TDs. Justin Jefferson leads LSU with 294 yards on a team-high 18 receptions with 2 touchdowns. As a team, LSU is averaging 396.6 yards of total offense and 33.8 points per game while allowing just 15 points per game this season, good for 12th in the country in scoring defence.

The Florida Gators will look to build some steam after surpassing last year’s win total with a 4-1 mark after a 13-6 road win over Mississippi State in their last outing. Feleipe Franks has thrown for 961 yards, 12 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 57.1% passing while Dameon Pierce has a team-high 255 yards and 2 touchdowns on the ground this season. Freddie Swain and Van Jefferson each have 3 touchdowns with Swain having a team-high 214 yards while Jefferson has a UF-leading 12 receptions. As a team, Florida is averaging 377.8 yards of total offense and 35.4 points per game while being tight on defence, allowing just 312.6 yards of total offense per game, including the 2nd fewest passing yards per game at 140 per contest and the 9th-lowest scoring defence with 14 points per game this season. 

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LSU is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 conference matchups while the under is 7-1 in their last 8 road games. Florida is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference matchups and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games in October. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. 

I know Florida going on the road and beating Mississippi State is a solid performance, but I need to see more from Florida before trusting them with any of my hard-earned money. LSU has proven me wrong time and time again by going against them, and it’s safe to say I’m finally a believer. The Tigers have done it all on both sides of the ball, and I think getting this low of a line with LSU is a gift and one that I’ll take.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Chris’s Pick LSU -3.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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