Minnesota vs. Iowa - 10/6/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1) at Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 6, 2018 at 3:30 pm (TCF Bank Stadium)
The Line: Minnesota Golden Gophers +5.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Iowa Hawkeyes and Minnesota Golden Gophers meet Saturday in college football action at TCF Bank Stadium.
The Iowa Hawkeyes hope to build on their solid 3-1 start to the season when they take to the road for the first time. The Iowa Hawkeyes have lost three of their last four road games. Nate Stanley is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 839 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions. Stanley has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last eight games. T.J. Hockenson and Noah Fant have combined for 407 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Nick Easley has 12 receptions. The Iowa Hawkeyes ground game is averaging 167.2 yards per contest, and Toren Young leads the way with 268 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa is allowing 13 points and 260.5 yards per game. Jack Hockaday leads the Iowa Hawkeyes with 28 tackles, A.J. Epenesa has four sacks and Amani Hooker has one interception.
The Minnesota Golden Gophers look for their fourth home win the season to keep pace in the Big Ten West. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have won five of their last six home games. Zack Annexstad is completing 52.7 percent of his passes for 706 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Annexstad has eight completions of 25 or more yards this season. Tyler Johnson and Rashod Bateman have combined for 487 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Chris Autman-Bell has 11 receptions. The Minnesota Golden Gophers ground game is averaging 159.7 yards per contest, and Bryce Williams leads the way with 283 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 17.3 points and 300.3 yards per game. Blake Cashman leads the Minnesota Golden Gophers with 27 tackles, Carter Coughlin has four sacks and Thomas Barber has one interception.
The Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf, 19-9 ATS in their last 28 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Golden Gophers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games. The road team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings, the underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.
Each of the last three games between Minnesota and Iowa have been decided by seven or less points. The home team has also been on the winning side of this rivarly seven of the last nine meetings. The Iowa Hawkeyes are obviously the better team and had their chances to beat a really good Wisconsin team a couple of weeks ago, but the Minnesota Golden Gophers are allowing just 256.3 yards in three home games and will be able to match Iowa's physicality in the trenches. Minnesota makes a lot of plays in the backfield and is a top-50 team in the country when it comes to stopping the run. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have covered six of their last seven home games when an underdog of at least three points. This is likely going to be a Big Ten defensive blood bath and points will be tough to come by. Expect another close game. So, give me my free points with the home team.