Nevada vs. Fresno State - 10/6/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Nevada vs. Fresno State - 10/6/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

Fresno State Bulldogs (3-1) at Nevada Wolf Pack (3-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 6, 2018 at 10:30 pm (Mackay Stadium)

The Line: Nevada Wolf Pack +11.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Fresno State Bulldogs and the Nevada Wolf Pack square off in a week 6 Mountain West conference college football tilt from Clarence MacKay Stadium on Saturday night.

The Fresno State Bulldogs will look to build on back-to-back wins, including a 49-27 win over Toledo in their last outing. Marcus McMaryion has thrown for 1,050 yards on 88 of 122 passing with 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions this season. Jordan Mims has rushed for 221 yards and 4 touchdowns while KeeSean Johnson leads the Bulldogs’ receiving corps with 26 catches for 394 yards and 3 touchdowns. As a team, Fresno State is averaging 441.8 yards of total offense and 45 points per game, good for 11th in the country this season.

The Nevada Wolf Pack will be looking to find some consistency after alternating wins and losses through their first five games of the season, including a 28-25 win over Air Force last time out. Ty Gangi leads Nevada with 1,332 yards, 11 touchdowns and 6 picks on 59% passing while Toa Taua leads the Pack with 407 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. Kaleb Fossum leads Nevada with 32 catches for 402 yards while McLane Mannix is right behind with 21 catches for 399 yards and a team-high 5 touchdowns. As a team, Nevada is averaging 452.2 yards of total offense and 38.2 points per game this season. 

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Fresno State is 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall and 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road games while the under is 13-3 in their last 16 conference matchups. Nevada is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Fresno State is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams in Nevada.

Two of the most high-powered offenses could lead me towards the over in this matchup, but I’m going to side with the Bulldogs. Fresno State has a much better defensive unit than the Wolf Pack, and McMaryion is able to take apart defenses while Gangi has struggled in terms of not throwing interceptions this season. Home field may play a huge part in this, but Fresno State have been road warriors ATS, especially in this matchup, so I like the Bulldogs to get a huge statement victory on the road in this one.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Chris’s Pick Fresno State -11.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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