Ole Miss vs. Louisiana-Monroe - 10/6/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-3) at Ole Miss Rebels (3-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 6, 2018 at 4:00 pm (Vaught-Hemingway Stadium)
The Line: Ole Miss Rebels -21.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks and the Ole Miss Rebels meet in a week 6 college football matchup from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will look to get back to .500 with a big road win after falling to 2-3 with a 46-14 loss to Georgia State in their last outing. Caleb Evans has thrown for 1,192 yards, 7 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 113 of 189 passing this year while also leading ULM in rushing with 264 yards and 3 touchdowns. Marcus Green leads the Warhawks’ receiving corps with 19 catches for 332 yards and 4 TDs while RJ Turner comes right behind with 18 catches for 211 yards this season. As a team, Louisiana-Monroe is averaging 397.6 yards of total offense, in addition to 21.2 points per game this season.
Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports
The Ole Miss Rebels will look to get back on track after alternating wins and losses in each of their last four games, including a 45-16 loss to LSU in their last outing. Jordan Ta’amu has thrown for 1,537 yards, 10 touchdowns and 4 interceptions in completing 60.7% of his 163 pass attempts while Scottie Phillips leads the Rebels on the ground with 563 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns this season. A.J. Brown leads the Rebels in receiving with 35 catches for 453 yards, while D.K. Metcalf has 21 catches for 405 yards and a team-high 4 touchdowns this season. As a team, Ole Miss is averaging 483.8 yards of total offense and 36.8 points per game this season.
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 non-conference games. Ole Miss is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games and 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games overall while the over is 7-1 in their last 8 games against the Sun Belt.
Ole Miss’ defensive woes are a tad bit concerning, considering that the Rebels have allowed 107 points to Alabama and LSU, but what’s even more worrying is that the Rebels allowed 41 points to FCS Southern Illinois earlier this season. Still, I just don’t see ULM putting up enough offense to keep up with Ole Miss here. The Rebels, while having their struggles, can move the ball up and down the field when they want to and I think they do just that here against the Warhawks, covering the spread in decisive fashion.