Texas vs. Oklahoma - 10/6/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oklahoma Sooners (5-0) at Texas Longhorns (4-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 6, 2018 at 12:00 pm (Cotton Bowl)
The Line: Texas Longhorns +7.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The 19th ranked Texas Longhorns and 7th ranked Oklahoma Sooners will battle it out in the Red River Shootout this upcoming Saturday afternoon at the Cotton Bowl.
The 19th ranked Texas Longhorns won their 4th straight game and improved to 4-1 (2-0 Big 12) on the season after defeating the Kansas State Wildcats, 19-14, this past Saturday. Texas jumped out to an early 19-0 lead with 7:15 left in the 2nd quarter and although the offense struggled down the stretch, the defense did enough for the Longhorns to hold on for the win. Texas outgained Kansas State by a 339-217 margin and held the Longhorns to just 110 passing yards in the victory. Leading the way for the Longhorns was QB Sam Ehlinger who completed 29 of 36 passes for 207 passing yards and a TD. On the season, Texas is averaging 28.8 ppg on 396.6 total yards per game (243.4 passing yds/g; 153.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Texas has been led by QB Sam Ehlinger who has completed 64.7% of his passes for 9 TD & 2 INT while averaging 237.0 passing yds/g. Ehlinger can also do some damage with his legs as he has 3 rushing TD’s on the season and averages 30.6 rushing yds/g. The top receivers for the Longhorns have been Lil’Jordan Humphrey (5.2 rec/g; 80.4 yds/g; 3 TD) and Collin Johnson (4.8 rec/g; 70.0 yds/g; 3 TD). Leading the way for the Texas backfield has been the duo of Tre Watson (14.0 att/g; 56.0 yds/g; TD) and Keaontay Ingram (8.5 att/g; 51.8 yds/g; 2 TD). Defensively, Texas is holding their opponents to an average of 19.8 ppg on 333.2 total yards per game (218.2 passing yds/g; 115.0 rushing yds/g).
Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports
The 7th ranked Oklahoma Sooners stayed perfect on the season, improving to 5-0 (2-0 Big 12), after defeating the Baylor Bears, 66-33, this past Saturday. Oklahoma scored at will against the overwhelmed Baylor defense and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 42-23 lead wit 4:09 left in regulation. Oklahoma outgained Baylor by a 607-493 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for the Sooners was QB Kyler Murray who completed 17 of 21 passes for 6 TD’s while also adding 45 yards and a TD on the ground. On the season, Oklahoma is averaging 48.6 ppg on 523.2 total yards per game (317.0 passing yds/g; 206.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Oklahoma has been led by QB Kyler Murray who has completed 70.6% of his passes for 17 TD’s & 2 INT while averaging 292.0 passing yds/g. Murray is also the 2nd leading rusher for the Sooners as he has 4 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 57.0 rushing yds/g. The top receiving targets for Murray and the Sooners have been Marquise Brown (4.8 rec/g; 108.8 yds/g; 5 TD), CeeDee Lamb (3.8 yds/g; 69.6 yds/g; 5 TD), and Lee Morris (1.2 rec/g; 34.4 yds/g; 3 TD). The Sooners backfield lost Rodney Anderson for the season however, Trey Sermon has done a nice job as his replacement as he has 2 TD’s on the season while averaging 58.8 rushing yds/g on 11.0 att/g. Defensively, Oklahoma is allowing their opponents to average 23.2 ppg on 405.2 total yards per game (252.4 passing yds/g; 152.8 rushing yds/g).
The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Sooners are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, however, are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.
Texas got tripped up agianst against Maryland to start the season, however, the Longhorns have started to look like the team we’ve expected to see over the past month as they’ve picked up great wins against USC and TCU and has a defense that ranks 29th in total defense. Oklahoma rebounded from a near upset against Army to blowout Baylor and has arguably the best offense in College Football as they rank 8th in scoring offense and 12th in total offense. Oklahoma is an exciting team to watch, however, I think their offense is not going to be able to score at will against this Texas defense and as this a rivalry game in which I think will stay close, I’m going to be taking Texas and the points as their getting more than a TD.