West Virginia vs. Kansas - 10/6/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Kansas Jayhawks (2-3) at West Virginia Mountaineers (4-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 6, 2018 at 12:00 pm (Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium)
The Line: West Virginia Mountaineers -29 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Kansas Jayhawks and West Virginia Mountaineers meet Saturday in college football action at Milan Puskar Stadium.
The Kansas Jayhawks look for their second road win of the season to get back to a .500 record. The Kansas Jayhawks have two road victories since the 2009 college football season. Peyton Bender is completing 59.6 percent of his passes for 490 yards, four touchdowns and zero interceptions. Bender and Carter Stanley have combined for seven touchdown passes and zero interceptions this season. Steven Sims Jr. and Kerr Johnson Jr. have combined for 409 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Jeremiah Booker has 10 receptions. The Kansas Jayhawks ground game is averaging 184 yards per contest, and Pooka Williams Jr. leads the way with 474 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas is allowing 24.2 points and 379.6 yards per game. Joe Dineen Jr. leads the Kansas Jayhawks with 63 tackles, Daniel Wise has one sack and Elmore Hempstead Jr. has one interception.
The West Virginia Mountaineers look for their third win to start a season 5-0 for the second time in the last three years. The West Virginia Mountaineers have won 10 of their last 13 home games. Will Grier is completing 72.1 percent of his passes for 1,487 yards, 17 touchdowns and three interceptions. Grier has three or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 11 games. Marcus Simms and Gary Jennings Jr. have combined for 744 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while David Sills V has 23 receptions. The West Virginia Mountaineers ground game is averaging 158.5 yards per contest, and Kennedy McKoy leads the way with 244 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, West Virginia is allowing 17.8 points and 343.8 yards per game. David Long Jr. leads the West Virginia Mountaineers with 46 tackles, Reese Donahue has one sack and Kenny Robinson Jr. has two interceptions.
The Jayhawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games, 15-36-1 ATS in their last 52 road games and 11-27 ATS in their last 38 games in October. The Mountaineers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf, 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games in October and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The West Virginia Mountaineers are an offensive machine and I believed in them so much before the season that I locked in a national title future bet. West Virginia has the ability to blow teams out of the water without much effort. The problem is even with all of those points, the Mountaineers margin of victory is only 24.5 points. So, oddsmakers are leaving some meat on the bone here. Say what you want about the Kansas Jayhawks, but they hung around with Oklahoma State last week and have a positive point differential five weeks into the season, despite the losing record and the opening week loss to Nicholls. While the SU results may not show it, the Kansas Jayhawks are an improved football team from years past and have covered seven of their last 12 games when an underdog of at least 14 points. This line is a few points too steep for my taste.