Michigan vs. Wisconsin - 10/13/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Detroit Free Press-USA TODAY Sports
Wisconsin Badgers (4-1) at Michigan Wolverines (5-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 13, 2018 at 7:30 pm (Michigan Stadium)
The Line: Michigan Wolverines -7 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Wisconsin Badgers and Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in college football action at Michigan Stadium.
The Wisconsin Badgers look for their second road win of the year will beating their seventh ranked team since the start of the 2016 season. The Wisconsin Badgers have won each of their last 10 road games, as their last road loss came against Michigan in October of 2016. Alex Hornibrook is completing 64 percent of his passes for 963 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Hornibrook has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last 11 games. A.J. Taylor and Jake Ferguson have combined for 567 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Garrett Groshek has 11 receptions. The Wisconsin Badgers ground game is averaging 287 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 849 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing 16.4 points and 349.8 yards per game. Ryan Connelly leads the Wisconsin Badgers with 29 tackles, T.J. Edwards has two sacks and Faion Hicks has one interception.
The Michigan Wolverines look for a sixth straight victory to remain in the Big Ten and college football playoff conversation. The Michigan Wolverines have won 16 of their last 18 home games. Shea Patterson is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 1,187 yards, 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Patterson has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 13 games. Nico Collins and Zach Gentry have combined for 571 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Donovan Peoples-Jones has 18 receptions. The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 199.8 yards per contest, and Karan Higdon leads the way with 582 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 15.8 points and 230.5 yards per game. Devin Bush leads the Michigan Wolverines with 39 tackles, Chase Winovich has three sacks and Josh Metellus has two interceptions.
The Badgers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October. The Badgers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Michigan, 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings and the home team is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
The Wisconsin Badgers have been a road covering machine the last three years and are no strangers to winning on the road or beating quality teams. The Wisconsin Badgers have also covered seven of their last nine games when an underdog of at least five points. The Michigan Wolverines seem to be getting better offensively, as they've topped 40 points in four of their last five games, and they currently have the best defense in college football. The Michigan Wolverines have also covered five of their last six games at home, but they've failed to cover their last four games as a favorite of at least five points. Turning down a free touchdown with Wisconsin given its history is ignroning the value. However, I have more confidence in Michigan right now. The Wolverines are not only an elite defensive club, but Patterson is getting more comfortable in this offense and blowouts will be a regular thing if they continue to put up 40-plus points. I like Michigan to make a statement here and get back in the thick of the CFB playoff race.