Oregon vs. Washington - 10/13/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Washington Huskies (5-1) at Oregon Ducks (4-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 13, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Autzen Stadium)
The Line: Oregon Ducks +3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ABC; ESPN 2; ESPN 3
The 7th ranked Washington Huskies will travel to Autzen Stadium to take on the 17th ranked Oregon Ducks this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The 7th ranked Washington Huskies won their 5th straight game and improved to 5-1 (3-0 Pac-12) on the season after defeating the UCLA Bruins, 31-24, this past Saturday. Washington raced out to a 24-7 halftime lead, however, allowed UCLA to hang around in the 2nd half before sealing the victory with a Myles Gaskin 2-yd TD rush with 3:42 left in regulation. Washington outgained UCLA by a 462-422 margin and committed 1 turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Huskies was RB Myles Gaskin who had 116 rushing yards & 2 TD on 27 carries. On the season, Washington is averaging 29.2 ppg on 442.7 total yards per game (272.0 passing yds/g; 170.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Washington has been led by QB Jake Browning who has completed 66.9% of his passes for 9 TD & 5 INT while averaging 251.3 passing yds/g. The top receivers for Browning and the Huskies have been Aaron Fuller (5.8 rec/g; 95.7 yds/g; 2 TD), TY Jones (2.3 rec/g; 44.5, 4 TD), and Andre Baccellia (2.7 rec/g; 32.8 yds/g). Leading the way for the Huskies backfield has been the duo of Myles Gaskin (20.7 att/g; 92.3 yds/g; 5 TD) and Salvon Ahmed (6.7 att/g; 43.0 yds/g; 2 TD). Defensively, Washington is holding their opponents to an average of 13.7 ppg on 304.5 total yards per game (174.7 passing yds/g; 129.8 rushing yds/g).
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
The Oregon Ducks improved to 4-1 (1-1 Pac 12) on the season after defeating the 24th ranked California Golden Bears, 42-24, on September 29th. Oregon scored 21 unanswered points in the 2nd quarter to take a 28-10 lead and pulled away in the 4th quarter after a Ugochukwu Amadi pick-six with just 3:02 left in regulation. Oregon outgained California by a 485-427 margin and won the turnover battle by a 5-1 margin. Leading the way for the Ducks with the running duo of Travis Dye & CJ Verdell who combined for 221 rushing yards and a TD. On the season, Oregon is averaging 45.6 ppg on 503.6 total yards per game (287.6 passing yds/g; 216.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Oregon has been led by QB Justin Herbert who had completed 64.7% of his passes for 15 TD & 5 INT while averaging 282.2 passing yds/g. The top receivers for Herbert and the Ducks have been Dillon Mitchell (5.4 rec/g; 88.4 yds/g; 2 TD), Johnny Johnson III (2.0 rec/g; 35.4 yds/g; 4 TD), Jaylon Redd (1.8 rec/g; 33.6 yds/g; 3 TD), and Jacob Breeland (1.8 rec/g; 32.8 yds/g; 2 TD). Leading the way for the Oregon backfield has been the trio of CJ Verdell (13.6 att/g; 84.0 yds/g; 2 TD), Travis Dye (9.2 att/g; 50.6 yds/g; 2 TD), and Tony Brooks-James (8.4 att/g; 40.0 yds/g; 3 TD). Defensively, Oregon is allowing their opponents to average 24.4 ppg on 346.8 total yards per game (238.2 passing yds/g; 108.6 rushing yds/g).
The Huskies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss however, are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Ducks are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games in October however, are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Washington has continued to pile on the victory since their opening season loss agianst Auburn and although it seems like the defense let up a bit in the 2nd half against UCLA, this is still a defense that ranks 13th in total defense. Oregon rebounded nicely after letting a victory agianst Stanford get away from them and once against has one of the most explosive passing offenses as it ranks 25th in the country. I think this is going to be a tight game however, I just don’t think the Oregon defense will be able to do enough to slow down Washington’s Jake Browning & Myles Gaskin and as Washington can’t afford to lose another game if they want a change to go to the CFF Playoffs, I’m taking Washington to win this one and cover this small road spread.