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Michigan State vs. Michigan - 10/20/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Michigan Wolverines (6-1) at Michigan State Spartans (4-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 12:00 pm (Spartan Stadium)

The Line: Michigan State Spartans +7 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

The Michigan Wolverines and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday in college football action at Spartan Stadium.

The Michigan Wolverines look for their second road win of the season to remain in the Big Ten and college football playoff race. The Michigan Wolverines have split their last six road games. Shea Patterson is completing 68.6 percent of his passes for 1,311 yards, 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Patterson has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 14 games. Zach Gentry and Nico Collins have combined for 607 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Donovan Peoples-Jones has 21 receptions. The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 217 yards per contest, and Karan Higdon leads the way with 687 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 15.4 points and 238 yards per game. Devin Bush leads the Michigan Wolverines with 44 tackles, Chase Winovich has three sacks and Josh Metellus has three interceptions. 

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Michigan State vs. Michigan - 10/20/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

The Michigan State Spartans have a shot at back-to-back wins over ranked teams while getting a game away from clinching a bowl berth. The Michigan State Spartans have won six of their last seven home games. Brian Lewerke is completing 60 percent of his passes for 1,587 yards, eight touchdowns and seven interceptions. Lewerke has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last 10 games. Felton Davis III and Cody White have combined for 774 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Darrell Stewart Jr. has 15 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 123 yards per contest, and Connor Heyward leads the way with 191 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 22.3 points and 348.7 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 43 tackles, Kenny Willekes has five sacks and Khari Willis has two interceptions.

The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games in October and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Wolverines are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Michigan State and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings. The over is 6-2 in Spartans last 8 games overall and the over is 4-1 in Wolverines last 5 games overall.

The Michigan Wolverines seem to be getting better and better as the weeks go along, and they're coming off a beatdown over the Wisconsin Badgers. The Michigan State Spartans are coming off a shocking road upset over Penn State, which is bizarre given how it performed the previous week against Northwestern. It's tough to figure out which MSU squad is serious given the up and down play the past few weeks. The Michigan Wolverines have covered six of their last nine games when favored by at least five points. The Michigan State Spartans have covered 13 of their last 17 games when an underdog of at least five points. Three of the last six meetings between Michigan State and Michigan have been decided by four or less points, and this is a clear rivarly game, where points are often nice to have. I'm still taking the Michigan Wolverines and the chalk here. I'm not confident Michigan State is as good as last week indicated and we're seeing the Wolverines start to come into their own offensively. I like Michigan to make another statement and get a big comfortable victory on the road.

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