New Mexico vs. Fresno State - 10/20/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Fresno State Bulldogs (5-1) at New Mexico Lobos (3-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 7:30 pm (University Stadium)
The Line: New Mexico Lobos +17 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The Fresno State Bulldogs will travel to Dreamstyle Stadium to take on the New Mexico Lobos this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Fresno State Bulldogs won their 4th straight game and improved to 5-1 (2-0 MW) on the season after defeating the Wyoming Cowboys, 27-3, this past Saturday. Fresno State was outstanding on the defensive end for the 2nd straight week and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 20-3 lead early in the 3rd quarter. Fresno State outgained Wyoming by a 391-221 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was QB Marcus McMaryion who completed 22 of 32 passes for 287 yards & 2 TD, while also adding 53 rushing yards & 2 TD’s on 7 carries. On the season, Fresno State is averaging 38.0 ppg on 403.5 total yards per game (270.8 passing yds/g; 132.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Fresno State has been led by Marcus McMaryion who has completed 71.4% of his passes for 11 TD & 2 INT while averaging 263.0 passing yds/g. McMaryion also is a major threat with his legs as he has accounted for 7 rushing TD’s on the season. The top receivers for McMaryion and the Bulldogs have been KeeSean Johnson (6.3 rec/g; 85.0 yds/g; 4 TD), and Jared Rice (4.3 rec/g; 58.2 yds/g; 2 TD). Leading the way for the Bulldogs backfield has been Jordan Mims who has 4 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 40.7 yds/g on 11.8 att/g. Mims is also a threat in the passing game as he has a receiving TD and is averaging 39.3 yds/g on 2.7 rec/g. Defensively, Fresno State is holding their opponents to an average of 13.5 ppg on 301.2 total yards per game (180.2 passing yds/g; 121.0 rushing yds/g).
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The New Mexico Lobos dropped to 3-3 (1-1 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Colorado State Rams, 20-18, this past Saturday. In a tight back and forth game, the New Mexico defense couldn’t come big at the end as they allowed Colorado State to engineer a 11-play, 65 yard drive in just over two minutes to win the game on a 26-yard Wyatt Bryan FG. New Mexico was outgained by Colorado State by a 423-299 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Lobos was Sheriron Jones who completed 12 of 20 passes for 165 yards and 2 TD. On the season, New Mexico is averaging 38.2 ppg on 432.8 total yards per game (234.3 passing yds/g; 198.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, New Mexico has been led by RB Tyrone Owens who has 6 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 70.7 rushing yds/g on 18.8 att/g. QB Sheriron Jones has completed 59.0% of his passes for 12 TD & 6 INT while averaging 159.2 passing yds/g. Jones also can extend plays with his legs and comes is averaging 30.2 rushing yds/g on 7.0 att/g. The top receivers for the Lobos have been Elijah Lilly (2.5 rec/g; 52.8 yds/g; 4 TD), Delane Hart-Johnson (3.2 rec/g; 45.0 yds/g; 4 TD); and Anselem Umeh (1.7 rec/g; 30.5 yds/g; TD). Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 31.0 ppg on 443.2 total yards per game (271.3 passing yds/g; 171.8 rushing yds/g).
The Bulldogs are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 22-4-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Lobos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss and just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Fresno State is showing us that last year’s remarkable turnaround was no fluke as the Bulldogs are looking as if they might be the team to beat behind QB Marcus McMaryion and a defense that currently ranks 2nd in CFB in scoring defense. New Mexico has an offense that can put up some points, however, the defense has been a major concern as evident when they lost at home to Liberty Flames by a 52-43 margin in week 4. Fresno State has allowed just 6 points over their last two games and as I just don’t see the Lobos being able to due much on either end of the ball against Fresno State, I’m taking the Bulldogs to cover this large road spread.