Oregon State vs. California - 10/20/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Oregon State vs. California - 10/20/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

California Golden Bears (3-3) at Oregon State Beavers (1-5)

College Football: Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 4:00 pm (Reser Stadium)

The Line: Oregon State Beavers +7 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The California Golden Bears will travel to Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The California Golden Bears lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 3-3 (0-3 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the UCLA Bruins, 37-7, this past Saturday. California once against struggled with turnovers and couldn’t fight back after an early 4th quarter TD gave UCLA a 27-7 lead with just 13:36 left in regulation. California was outgained by UCLA by a 348-310 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 5-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Golden Bears was RB Patrick Laird who had 94 rushing yards and a TD on 17 carries. On the season, California is averaging 23.0 ppg on 393.3 total yards per game (214.5 passing yds/g; 178.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, California has been led by RB Patrick Laird who has 3 rushing TD’s while averaging 64.0 yds/g on 16.3 att/g. QB Brandon McIIwain has completed 62.8% of his passes for 2 TD & 7 INT while averaging 118.8 passing yds/g. McIIwain has done some damage with his legs this season as he has 4 rushing TD’s while averaging 61.8 rushing yds/g on 11.0 att/g. The top receivers for the Golden Bears have been Kanawai Noa (4.2 rec/g; 46.4 yds/g; TD), Vic Wharton III (4.3 rec/g; 37.0 yds/g), and Jordon Duncan (2.8 rec/g; 35.0 yds/g; 3 TD). Defensively, California is allowing their opponents to average 26.8 ppg on 334.2 total yards per game (169.8 passing yds/g; 164.3 rushing yds/g).

The Oregon State Beavers lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 1-5 (0-3 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the Washington State Cougars, 56-37, this past Saturday. Oregon State played the Cougars tough and even held a 30-28 lead midway through the 3rd quarter, however, the Beavers had no answers for the Cougars passing attack down the stretch and allowed Washington State to pull away after 28 unanswered points gave the Cougars a 56-30 lead with 1:11 left in regulation. Oregon State was outgained by a 530-497 margin and committed 1 turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Beavers was Jermar Jefferson who has 138 rushing yards and 4 TD’s on 25 carries. On the season, Oregon State is averaging 31.5 ppg on 453.7 total yards per game (241.8 passing yds/g; 211.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Oregon State has been led by the RB duo of Jermar Jefferson (21.7 att/g; 144.2 yds/g; 12 TD) and Artavis Pierce (10.0 att/g; 99.7 yds/g; 3 TD). QB Conor Blount has completed 65.6% of his passes for 7 TD & 1 INT while averaging 169.5  passing yds/g. The top receivers for the Beavers have been Timmy Hernandez (5.3 rec/g; 61.8 yds/g; TD), Isaiah Hodgins (4.6 rec/g; 72.4 yds/g; 2 TD), and Trevon Bradford (4.8 rec/g; 52.6 yds/g; 4 TD). Defensively, Oregon State is allowing their opponents to average 47.0 ppg on 541.3 total yards per game (271.8 passing yds/g; 269.5 rushing yds/g).

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The Golden Bears are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

California has some talent on their team however, they’re not going to win many more games this season if they continue to turn the ball over like they have been as during their 3-game losing streak, the Golden Bears have committed 14 turnovers. Oregon State has been able to put up plenty of points thanks to their 30th ranked rushing offense however, the defense has been an issue as they come into this game ranked just 128th in scoring defense. The line has yet to be released as Oregon State’s Conor Blount is listed as questionable as of right now, however, as the Beavers defense hasn’t been great at creating turnovers and I expect the Golden Bears to be plenty of points, my initial thoughts are leaning towards taking California to cover a small to midrange spread. Please check back later when the line has been released.

Update (10/17/18) - This line doesn't really change my iniitial thoughts as I think as long as the Golden Bears limit their turnovers, which should be easier against an Oregon State defense that is below average and doesn't force many turnovers, I think they'll be able to do enough on the road to cover this spread. Good Luck.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Brett’s Pick California Golden Bears -7

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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