Purdue vs. Ohio State - 10/20/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Mike Granse-USA TODAY Sports
Ohio State Buckeyes (7-0) at Purdue Boilermakers (3-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 7:30 pm (Ross-Ade Stadium)
The Line: Purdue Boilermakers +13.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Ohio State Buckeyes and Purdue Boilermakers meet Saturday in college football action at Ross-Ade Stadium.
The Ohio State Buckeyes look for their second road victory to improve to 8-0 for the third time since the 2013 season. The Ohio State Buckeyes have won nine of their last 11 road games. Dwayne Haskins is completing 72.3 percent of his passes for 2,331 yards, 28 touchdowns and four interceptions. Haskins has three or more touchdown passes in six of his seven games this season. Parris Campbell and K.J. Hill have combined for 1,108 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Terry McLaurin has 16 receptions. The Ohio State Buckeyes ground game is averaging 185.4 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 497 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Ohio State is allowing 19.1 points and 369.6 yards per game. Jordan Fuller leads the Ohio State Buckeyes with 39 tackles, Dre'Mont Jones has 5.5 sacks and Kendall Sheffield has two interceptions.
The Purdue Boilermakers look for their fourth straight victory and their second win of the season over a ranked team. The Purdue Boilermakers have split their last eight home games. David Blough is completing 68.4 percent of his passes for 1,695 yards, 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. Blough has three touchdown passes in three of his last four games. Rondale Moore and Isaac Zico have combined for 957 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Brycen Hopkins has 19 receptions. The Purdue Boilermakers ground game is averaging 179.3 yards per contest, and D.J. Knox leads the way with 540 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Purdue is allowing 23.2 points and 414.3 yards per game. Jacob Thieneman leads the Purdue Boilermakers with 45 tackles, Cornel Jones has three sacks and Kenneth Major has three interceptions.
The Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in October and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Purdue, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings and the under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. The over is 16-7 in Boilermakers last 23 home games and the over is 6-2 in Buckeyes last 8 road games.
The Ohio State Buckeyes are doing enough to win games and look great for stretches, but they're not covering these big numbers, which is the only thing we care about in this line of work. The Purdue Boilermakers are coming off their biggest win of the season and are outscoring teams by 23.3 points during their three-game winning streak. Obviously, Boston College, Nebraska and Illinois aren't in the same league as Ohio State. The Ohio State Buckeyes have failed to cover six of their last 10 games when a double-digit favorite. The Purdue Boilermakers have split their last 12 games ATS when a double-digit underdog. Purdue has been explosive on the offensive end as of late and this is one of the bigger games this program has had in years, national TV, under the lights. You can expect the Boilermakers to be quite motivated and jacked up for this contest. And given how OSU hasn't been covering big numbers lately and struggled at home against a blah Minnesota team, you can see Purdue giving the Buckeyes a run for their money here. I'll take a shot with the points here.