USF vs. UCONN - 10/20/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UCONN Huskies (1-5) at USF Bulls (6-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 7:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)
The Line: USF Bulls -32.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The UConn Huskies and South Florida Bulls meet Saturday in college football action at Raymond James Stadium.
The UConn Huskies look for their first road victory of the season to bounce back from a brutal 1-5 record. The UConn Huskies have lost all three road games this season by an average margin of 42 points. David Pindell is completing 61.3 percent of his passes for 1,122 yards, nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Pindell and Marvin Washington have combined for 10 touchdown passes and eight interceptions this season. Aaron McLean and Kyle Buss have combined for 492 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Hergy Mayala has 23 receptions. The UConn Huskies ground game is averaging 166.3 yards per contest, and Pindell leads the way with 467 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, UConn is allowing 53.7 points and 658.2 yards per game. Tyler Coyle leads the UConn Huskies with 61 tackles, Kevon Jones has two sacks and Oneil Robinson has one interception.
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The South Florida Bulls look to improve to 7-0 on the season and remain frontrunners to win the AAC. The South Florida Bulls have won eight of their last nine home games. Blake Barnett is completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 1,505 yards, nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Barnett has two touchdown passes and two interceptions in his last three games. Tyre McCants and Randall St. Felix have combined for 752 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Darnell Salomon has 16 receptions. The South Florida Bulls ground game is averaging 218.6 yards per contest, and Jordan Cronkrite leads the way with 757 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, South Florida is allowing 25 points and 402.2 yards per game. Khalid McGee leads the South Florida Bulls with 54 tackles, Joe Black has four sacks and Mike Hampton has two interceptions.
The Huskies are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 road games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October and 14-39-2 ATS in their last 55 games overall. The Bulls are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games. The underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. The under is 6-2 in Bulls last 8 home games and the under is 6-2 in Huskies last 8 conference games.
The UConn Huskies have had an extra week to prepare for this game, but I'm not sure how that matters given that they're head and shoulders the worst defense in college football and have failed to cover numbers left and right the last several years. UConn has given up no less than 49 points in all six games this season and is 1-3 ATS this season when an underdog of at least 24 points. The South Florida Bulls are undefeated and doing what it takes to win, but three of their last four games have been decided by seven or less points. USF is also just 3-5 ATS in its last eight games when a favorite of at least 24 points, which includes a failed cover against Elon earlier this season. I don't trust the Bulls and big numbers, but I for damn sure aren't backing UConn and that trash defense. So, this is either USF in a blowout or pass. If forced to pick, I'm taking the blowout.