California vs. Washington - 10/27/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Washington Huskies (6-2) at California Golden Bears (4-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 27, 2018 at 6:30 pm (California Memorial Stadium)
The Line: California Golden Bears +13.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The 15th ranked Washington Huskies will travel to Memorial Stadium (Berkeley, CA) to take on the California Golden Bears this upcoming Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The 15th ranked Washington Huskies improved to 6-2 (4-1 Pac-12) on the season after defeating the Colorado Buffaloes, 27-13, this past Saturday. Washington had trouble getting their offense going at home against the Buffaloes as they held just a 14-13 lead at halftime, however, the Huskies were able to pull away late after a 26-yd TD reception by an Aaron Fuller gave the Huskies a 24-13 lead with just 3:50 left in the 4th quarter. Washington outgained Colorado by a 351-263 margin however, did commit two turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Huskies was RB Salvon Ahmed who had 73 rushing yards and a TD on 9 carries. On the season, Washington is averaging 28.6 ppg on 430.5 total yards per game (253.1 passing yds/g; 177.4 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Washington has been led by the RB duo of Myles Gaskin (19.9 att/g; 89.0 yds/g; 5 TD) and Salvon Ahmed (7.5 att/g; 49.0 yds/g; 5 TD). QB Jake Browning has completed 65.3% of his passes for 11 TD & 7 INT while averaging 237.6 passing yds/g. The top targets for Browning and the Huskies have been Aaron Fuller (5.3 rec/g; 81.5 yds/g; 3 TD), Ty Jones (2.5 rec/g; 44.9 yds/g; 5 TD), and Andre Baccellia (2.5 rec/g; 28.6 yds/g). Defensively, Washington is holding their opponents to an average of 15.6 ppg on 320.9 total yards per game (166.4 passing yds/g; 154.4 rushing yds/g).
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The California Golden Bears snapped their 3-game losing streak and improved to 4-3 (1-3 Pac-12) on the season after easily defeating the Oregon State Beavers, 49-7, this past Saturday. California had no trouble taking care of the Beavers as they dominated Oregon State on both sides of the ball and easily cruised to victory after taking a 21-0 halftime lead. California outgained Oregon State by a 539-241 margin and forced Oregon State into committing 2 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Golden Bears was RB Patrick Laird who had 193 rushing yards and 2 TD’s on 22 carries. On the season, California is averaging 26.7 ppg on 414.1 total yards per game (217.3 passing yds/g; 196.9 rushing yds/g). Offensively, California has been led by RB Patrick Laird who had 5 rushing TD’s while averaging 82.4 rushing yds/g on 17.1 att/g. California has been alternating QB’s this season however, Chase Garbers had a solid performance against Oregon State (17 of 26; 234 yds; 3 TD) and comes into this game completing 65.3% of his passes for 9 TD & 4 INT while averaging 121.2 passing yds/g. The top receivers for the Golden Bears have been Kanawai Noa (4.3 rec/g; 50.8 yds/g; 2 TD), Vic Wharton III (4.4 rec/g; 43.1 yds/g), and Moe Ways (2.4 rec/g; 26.6 yds/g). Defensively, California is allowing their opponents to average 24.0 ppg on 320.9 total yards per game (166.4 passing yds/g; 154.4 rushing yds/g).
The Huskies are 21-49-2 ATS in their last 72 games in October and just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Golden Bears are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous home and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Washington is a talented team that has a defense that ranks 16th in total defense, however, it was a less than aspiring performance by the Huskies against a Buffaloes team that was missing their best player. California finally protected the football which has been a major problem in their three losses this season, and for the most part have been solid on both ends of the field this season. California is a better team than what we saw during their 3-game losing streak and as I’m just not convinced that the Washington offense will be able to have a ton of success on the road, I think the Patrick Laird and the Golden Bears offense does just enough to cover with the points at home. Take California to cover.