Maryland vs. Illinois - 10/27/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
Illinois Fighting Illini (3-4) at Maryland Terrapins (4-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 27, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Maryland Stadium)
The Line: Maryland Terrapins -17.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Illinois Fighting Illini and Maryland Terrapins meet Saturday in college football action at Maryland Stadium.
The Illinois Fighting Illini look for their second road win after losing four of their last five games in order to improve their bowl berth chances. The Illinois Fighting Illini have lost six of their last seven road games. AJ Bush Jr. is completing 51.9 percent of his passes for 492 yards, one touchdowns and three interceptions. M.J. Rivers II and Bush have combined for four touchdown passes and five interceptions this season. Trenard Davis and Sam Mays have combined for 378 receiving yards on 35 receptions while Ricky Smalling has 13 receptions. The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 226.1 yards per contest, and Reggie Corbin leads the way with 584 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 34 points and 510.4 yards per game. Del'Shawn Phillips leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 59 tackles, Bobby Roundtree has four sacks and Jartavius Martin has three interceptions.
The Maryland Terrapins look for their third straight home victory to move one more win away from clinching a bowl berth. The Maryland Terrapins have lost five of their last eight home games. Kasim Hill is completing 51.7 percent of his passes for 701 yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions. Hill has one or less touchdown passes in eight of his 10 career games. Taivon Jacobs and DJ Turner have combined for 330 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Jeshaun Jones has eight receptions. The Maryland Terrapins ground game is averaging 219.8 yards per contest, and Ty Johnson leads the way with 450 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Maryland is allowing 23.3 points and 315.6 yards per game. Tre Watson leads the Maryland Terrapins with 75 tackles, Byron Cowart has three sacks and Darnell Savage Jr. has four interceptions.
The Fighting Illini are 6-13 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Terrapins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on fieldturf, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October. The over is 9-4 in Terrapins last 13 conference games and the over is 7-2 in Fighting Illini last 9 road games.
The Illinois Fighting Illini have been beat up badly in their last few games and are being outscored by 28.25 points in their four losses. The Maryland Terrapins have lost three of their last five games, but all three of those results came against bully defensive clubs that prevented the Terps from getting comfortable offensively. Illinois isn't a team that can own the trenches, and its allowed 40-plus points in three of its last four games. The Illinois Fighting Illini have failed to cover eight of their last 11 games when an underdog at least 14 points. The Maryland Terrapins have covered eight of their last 10 games when favored by at least 14 points. When Illinois takes a loss, it's been nothing but a blowout. Maryland needs this win if it was a realistic chance of making a bowl game. I'll eat the chalk, as more of a fade from Illinois than anything else.