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Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M - 10/27/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas A&M Aggies (5-2) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3)

College Football: Saturday, October 27, 2018 at 7:00 pm (Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field)

The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs -3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Texas A&M Aggies and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet in week 9 SEC college football action from Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday night.

The Texas A&M Aggies will look to stay hot after 3 straight wins, including a 26-23 win over South Carolina in their last outing. Kellen Mond has thrown for 1,800 yards, 10 touchdowns and 5 interceptions while Trayveon Williams has rushed for 798 yards and 8 touchdowns this season. Jace Sternberger has 29 catches for 496 yards and 6 touchdowns this season while Camron Buckley and Quartney Davis each have 20+ receptions and 300+ receiving yards this year. As a team, Texas A&M is averaging 486.7 yards of total offense and 32.3 points per game while allowing the 2nd-fewest rushing yards per game with 78.4 yards per game on the ground this season. 

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Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M - 10/27/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jeff Blake-USA TODAY Sports

The Mississippi State Bulldogs will look to bounce back after losing 3 of their last 4 games following a 19-3 loss to LSU in their last outing. Nick Fitzgerald has thrown for 768 yards, 4 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 46.9% passing this season while also rushing for a team-high 644 yards and 7 touchdowns. Kylin Hill has rushed for 516 yards and 3 touchdowns while Osirus Mitchell leads the Bulldogs with 14 catches for 251 yards. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 406.3 yards of total offense and 27 points per game while allowing the 6th-fewest total yards per game this season (282.4) and 4th-fewest points per game (13.6) this season. 

Texas A&M is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games while the under is 8-3 in their last 11 conference games. Mississippi State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Texas A&M is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

The Bulldogs have had the bulk of the success when these two teams meet, however this year’s Texas A&M team is extremely solid against the run, and I’ve often said that the Bulldogs are Nick Fitzgerald or bust when it comes to their offense. The Bulldogs’ defense is always giving them a chance to win games, but in their 3 losses, Mississippi State has scored a combined 16 points, which won’t win you many games as it is. I expect the Aggies to shut down Fitzgerald here and since we are getting the points with what I feel is the better team, I won’t turn them down and I’ll take Texas A&M and the points.

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