Penn State vs. Iowa - 10/27/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports
Iowa Hawkeyes (6-1) at Penn State Nittany Lions (5-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 27, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Beaver Stadium)
The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions -4.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Iowa Hawkeyes and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in college football action at Beaver Stadium.
The Iowa Hawkeyes look for their third road win of the season to remain in the thick of the Big Ten West. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won five of their last eight road games. Nate Stanley is completing 61 percent of his passes for 1,559 yards, 16 touchdowns and six interceptions. Stanley has 11 combined touchdown passes in his last three games. T.J. Hockenson and Noah Fant have combined for 736 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Nick Easley has 24 receptions. The Iowa Hawkeyes ground game is averaging 165.4 yards per contest, and Toren Young leads the way with 403 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa is allowing 14.1 points and 258.1 yards per game. Kristian Welch leads the Iowa Hawkeyes with 40 tackles, A.J. Epenesa has six sacks and Riley Moss has two interceptions.
The Penn State Nittany Lions look for their first win of the season over a ranked team to rebound from losing two of their last three games overall. The Penn State Nittany Lions have won 15 of their last 17 home games. Trace McSorley is completing 53.9 percent of his passes for 1,461 yards, 11 touchdowns and three interceptions. McSorley has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 13 games. KJ Hamler and Juwan Johnson have combined for 694 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Brandon Polk has nine receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 240.7 yards per contest, and Miles Sanders leads the way with 772 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 22 points and 392 yards per game. Nick Scott leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 37 tackles, Shaka Toney has five sacks and Amani Oruwariye has two interceptions.
The Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Nittany Lions are 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 home games, 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 conference games and 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings. The over is 8-2 in Nittany Lions last 10 games overall and the over is 4-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 games overall.
The Iowa Hawkeyes continue to be one of the more consistent teams in the Big Ten and are outscoring teams by 22 points during their three-game winning streak. Iowa seems to be getting stronger by the week defensively and the offense has become more explosive than it has in past years. The Penn State Nittany Lions have really fallen apart the last three weeks, which includes losses to Ohio State, Michigan State and a near loss last week to Indiana, a contest in which they were two touchdown favorites. The Iowa Hawkeyes have failed to cover six of their last nine games when an underdog of at least three points. The Penn State Nittany Lions have failed to cover six of their last 11 games when favored by at least three points. There's clearly a lot of money coming in on Iowa when you consider where this line opened up at, but I have to be on that side as well. There's no way I can lay chalk with the way Penn State has played the last three weeks and Iowa is the definition of consistency, run the ball, defense and compete. Give me the points.