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SMU vs. Cincinnati - 10/27/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati Bearcats (6-1) at SMU Mustangs (3-4)

College Football: Saturday, October 27, 2018 at 3:30 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)

The Line: SMU Mustangs +8.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: CBSSN

The Cincinnati Bearcats and SMU Mustangs meet Saturday in college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

The Cincinnati Bearcats look to rebound from an overtime loss to Temple and keep pace in the competitive AAC. The Cincinnati Bearcats have split their last eight road games. Desmond Ridder is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 1,173 yards, 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Ridder has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last five games. Josiah Deguara and Kahlil Lewis have combined for 561 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Rashad Medaris has 12 receptions. The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 247.5 yards per contest, and Michael Warren II leads the way with 796 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 15.1 points and 280.4 yards per game. Perry Young leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 38 tackles, Cortez Broughton has four sacks and James Wiggins has two interceptions.

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SMU vs. Cincinnati - 10/27/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Ray Carlin-USA TODAY Sports

The SMU Mustangs look to stay hot after winning three of their last four games, as they inch closer to a possible bowl berth. The SMU Mustangs have won eight of their last 10 home games. William Brown is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 625 yards, seven touchdowns and one interception. Ben Hicks and William Brown have combined for 16 touchdown passes and four interceptions this season. James Proche and Reggie Roberson Jr. have combined for 936 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Braeden West has 22 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 109.4 yards per contest, and West leads the way with 463 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 37.3 points and 412.4 yards per game. Rodney Clemons leads the SMU Mustangs with 57 tackles, Richard Moore has three sacks and Shaine Hailey has one interception.

The Bearcats are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 conference games, 12-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Mustangs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The under is 5-0 in Mustangs last 5 games in October and the under is 4-0 in Bearcats last 4 road games.

The Cincinnati Bearcats are coming off their first loss of the season, and you now have to question just how good this team actually is considering only one of their victories have come against a team with a winning record. The SMU Mustangs went from getting rocked earlier in the season to winning three of their last four games and averaging 35.2 points during that span. The Cincinnati Bearcats have split their last 10 games ATS when favored by at least seven points. The SMU Mustangs have covered eight of their last 13 games when an underdog of at least seven points. I'm questioning Cincinnati and how good this team really is given its weak schedule. SMU has turned its season around recently and needs a win to increase its chances of reaching a bowl game. I wouldn't be shocked if SMU won this game outright, but I'll gladly take the points just to be sure. 

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