Arizona vs. Colorado - 11/2/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Colorado Buffaloes (5-3) at Arizona Wildcats (4-5)
College Football: Friday, November 2, 2018 at 10:30 pm (Arizona Stadium)
The Line: Arizona Wildcats -4 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Colorado Buffaloes will travel to Arizona Stadium to take on the Arizona Wildcats this upcoming Friday night in College Football action.
The Colorado Buffaloes lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 5-3 (2-3 Pac-12) on the season after being upset at home by the Oregon State Beavers, 41-34, this past Saturday. Colorado allowed Oregon State to fight back from a 31-3 deficit early in the 3rd quarter to force OT and the Buffaloes couldn’t answer after the Beavers opened OT with a TD. Colorado outgained Oregon State by a 536-459 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Buffaloes was WR K.D. Nixon who had 13 receptions for 198 yards and 2 TD’s. On the season, Colorado is averaging 32.0 ppg on 439.6 total yards per game (262.3 passing yds/g; 177.4 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Colorado has been led by WR Laviska Shenault Jr. who has 11 total TD’s (6 receiving; 5 rushing) and is averaging 130.0 receiving yds/g on 10.0 rec/g. Shenault Jr. has missed the last two games due to a foot injury and is currently questionable for this match-up. QB Steven Montez has completed 68.2% of his passes for 14 TD & 4 INT while averaging 256.6 passing yds/g. The top receiving targets for Montez, outside of Shenault Jr., have been K.D. Dixon (5.8 rec/g; 70.0 yds/g; 3 TD) and Tony Brown (3.4 rec/g; 36.1 yds/g). Leading the way for the Buffaloes backfield has been RB Travon McMillian who had 5 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 97.3 yds/g on 18.4 att/g. Defensively, Colorado is allowing their opponents to average 23.9 ppg on 364.9 total yards per game (222.9 passing yds/g; 142.0 rushing yds/g).
Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports
The Arizona Wildcats snapped a two game losing streak and improved to 4-5 (3-3 Pac-12) on the season after upsetting the 19th ranked Oregon Ducks, 44-15, this past Saturday. Arizona was outstanding on the defensive end throughout the game and had no trouble securing the victory after 21 unanswered points gave the Wildcats a 37-8 lead with 2:49 left in regulation. Arizona outgained Oregon by a 465-270 margin and won the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin. Leading the way for the Wildcats was RB J.J. Taylor who had 212 rushing yards & 2 TD on 30 carries. On the season, Arizona is averaging 29.6 ppg on 441.7 total yards per game (236.3 passing yds/g; 205.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arizona has been led by RB J.J. Taylor who has 6 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 114.3 yds/g on 18.6 att/g. QB Khalil Tate is not nearly as much the duel-threat QB that we saw last season as he isn’t running the ball the much, however, he has been solid as a passer as he has completed 54.0% of his passes for 14 TD & 5 INT while averaging 200.5 passing yds/g. The top receivers for Tate and the Wildcats have been Shawn Poindexter (3.6 rec/g; 64.7 yds/g; 6 TD), Shun Brown (5.1 rec/g; 53.9 yds/g; 4 TD), and Tony Ellison (2.3 rec/g; 41.3 yds/g; 3 TD). Defensively, Arizona is allowing their opponents to average 27.4 ppg on 421.7 total yards per game (238.2 passing yds/g; 183.4 rushing yds/g).
The Buffaloes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Friday games however, are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in November. The Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Colorado probably though that they were going to clinch becoming bowl eligible after taking a 28-point lead agianst the Beavers in the 2nd half, however, they now will have a challenge to pick up that 6th win as they probably won’t be the favorite in any of their final four games. Arizona is coming off their best game of the season and as much as the Wildcats has to be happy to have Khalil Tate back, their probably happier with how the defense slowed down a very good Oregon offense. Arizona has been much better at home this season and assuming that Shenault Jr. won’t be able to give it a go for the Buffaloes, I just don’t see Colorado being able to keep this one close. I’m taking Arizona to cover this low home spread.