Florida vs. Missouri - 11/3/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Missouri Tigers (4-4) at Florida Gators (6-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 3, 2018 at 4:00 pm (Ben Hill Griffin Stadium)
The Line: Florida Gators -6 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Missouri Tigers and the Florida Gators meet in a week 10 SEC college football matchup from Florida Field on Saturday afternoon.
The Missouri Tigers will look to rebound after losses in 4 of their last 5 games, including a heart-breaking 15-14 loss to Kentucky on the last play of the game in their last outing. Drew Lock has thrown for 2,144 yards, 16 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 60.6% passing while Larry Rountree III and Damarea Crockett have combined to rush for 1,057 yards and 13 touchdowns this season for Mizzou. Emanuel Hall leads the Tigers with 430 receiving yards with 3 touchdowns while Albert Okwuegbunam has a Tiger-high 39 catches for 420 yards and 5 TDs. Jalen Knox and Johnathon Johnson each have 350+ receiving yards and 3 touchdowns this season. As a team, Missouri is averaging 469.6 yards of total offense and 35.5 points per game this season.
Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
The Florida Gators will look to bounce back after having their 5 game winning streak halted with a 36-17 loss to Georgia in their last outing. Feleipe Franks has thrown for 1,511 yards, 16 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 57.1% passing while Lamical Perine and Jordan Scarlett have combined to rush for 875 yards and 6 touchdowns this season. Van Jefferson leads the Gators with 19 catches for 265 yards and 4 touchdowns while Freddie Swain has 13 grabs for 263 yards and 5 scores this season. As a team, Florida is averaging 391.4 yards of total offense and 32.2 points per game this season.
Missouri is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss. Florida is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games while the under is 6-2 in their last 8 games following a loss.
Missouri has the offensive capabilities to hang with Florida here, but you have to wonder how much that heartbreaker last week took out of the Tigers. They had the game won, only to have a pass interference all give Kentucky a second chance and handed the Tigers the loss. Sure, Missouri could use that to fuel the fire, but the problem is that the Tigers haven’t had any success on the road ATS dating back to last season, while Florida needs a bounce back here to shake off the bad taste from their loss to Georgia. All in all I expected this line to be bigger, but since we are getting less than a touchdown, I’ll side with Florida here.